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2015-2023年我国不同区域PM2.5组分特征及变化趋势

Component characteristics and variation trend of PM2.5 in different regions of China during 2015-2023

  • 摘要: 近年来我国PM2.5浓度明显降低,但不同的PM2.5组分变化存在显著的时间和区域差异。目前基于数值模式和在线观测的PM2.5组分变化研究多针对代表性站点和时段,缺乏对长时间多区域的PM2.5组分年际变化的研究。本研究基于自主研发的多元示踪模型(MTEA)结合空气质量监测网格数据,建立2015-2023年我国367个城市一次PM2.5(PPM)和二次PM2.5(SPM)浓度数据集,进一步分析不同区域PPM、SPM和二次颗粒物占比SPM/PM2.5(SPM%)的空间分布和年际变化特征。结果表明:2015-2023年我国PPM浓度从15.85 μg m-3下降至10.28 μg m-3,SPM浓度从25.86 μg m-3下降至15.42 μg m-3,9年间分别下降了35.02 %和40.37 %。2015-2023年PPM和SPM的年际变化趋势在2021年前后呈现出不同特征,2015-2021年间均以较快速度下降(?0.91 μg m-3 yr-1和?1.70 μg m-3 yr-1),而2021年后PPM下降速度变缓(?0.14 μg m-3 yr-1),SPM甚至出现轻微上升(+0.10 μg m-3 yr-1)。SPM%整体变化情况与SPM相似,2021年前以?0.38% yr-1速度下降,2021年后以上升(+0.38% yr-1)。就不同区域而言,我国华北和华中地区PPM和SPM浓度最高,对应更强的人为污染排放;但SPM%则是华南和西南地区更高(66.67%~68.66%),这与南方更强的大气氧化能力有关。大多数地区PPM和SPM浓度变化趋势与全国整体趋势一致,除西南地区的在2021年后SPM和SPM%仍保持显著的下降趋势。本研究提供的不同区域颗粒物组分趋势分析可为我国未来颗粒物污染管控提供科学依据和数据支撑。

     

    Abstract: In recent years, the concentration of PM2.5 in China has significantly decreased, but there are notable temporal and regional differences in the changes of different PM2.5 components. Current research on PM2.5 component changes, based on numerical models and online observations, mostly focuses on single site and representative periods, lacking high spatiotemporal resolution studies on regional and interannual variations of PM2.5 components. This study, based on a multivariate tracer model (MTEA) combined with grid data from air quality monitoring, establishes a dataset of primary PM2.5 (PPM) and secondary PM2.5 (SPM) concentrations for 367 cities in China from 2015 to 2023. The results show that from 2015 to 2023, the concentrations of PPM and SPM in China decreased from 15.85 μg m-3 and 25.86 μg m-3 to 10.28 μg m-3 and 15.42 μg m-3, respectively, with a reduction of 35.02% and 40.37% over nine years. The interannual trends of PPM and SPM from 2015 to 2023 showed different characteristics before and after 2021, with a rapid decline from 2015 to 2021 (?0.91 μg m-3 yr-1 and ?1.70 μg m-3 yr-1), and a slowdown in the decline of PPM after 2021 (?0.14 μg m-3 yr-1), while SPM even showed a slight increase (+0.10 μg m-3 yr-1). The overall trend of SPM% was similar to that of SPM, decreasing at a rate of ?0.38% yr-1 before 2021 and increasing at a rate of +0.38% yr-1 after 2021. In terms of different regions, the highest concentrations of PPM and SPM were found in North and Central China, corresponding to stronger anthropogenic emissions; however, the SPM% was higher in South and Southwest China (66.67%~68.66%), which is related to the stronger atmospheric oxidation capacity in the south. The trends of PPM and SPM concentrations in most regions were consistent with the national trend, except for the Southwest region where SPM and SPM% continued to decline significantly after 2021. This study can offer scientific and data support for future particulate matter pollution control in China.

     

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