东亚副热带急流东西位置与我国夏季降水的关系及其对热带中东太平洋海温的响应
Impact of the East Asian Subtropical Jet
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摘要: 利用1980~2020年ERA5再分析资料、中国气象局提供的台站降水资料以及NOAA月平均海表温度以及OLR资料,分析了东亚副热带西风急流东西位置与我国夏季降水的关系及其对热带中东太平洋海温异常的响应。结果表明:东亚副热带急流异常偏西年,长江流域高层辐合,低层辐散,偏东偏弱的副高不利于水汽输送到长江流域,降水异常减少;河套地区高层辐散,伴随上升运动和水汽辐合,降水增多。急流异常偏东年,副高偏强、偏西,上述2个地区高低层辐合辐散形势、水汽条件及垂直运动与急流偏西年相反,因此降水异常也呈反位相分布。急流的东西位置与夏季热带中东太平洋海温关系密切。热带中东太平洋海温负(正)异常可以直接冷却(加热)大气,导致该处的对流活动减弱(增强),作用于Walker环流使得热带西太平洋地区出现异常的上升(下沉)运动,再经由经圈环流影响东亚中纬度地区,30°N附近对流活动减弱(增强),通过改变非绝热加热减小(增大)原气候态急流区东部的南北温度梯度,对流层西风减弱(增强),有利于急流偏西(东)。Abstract: ERA5 reanalysis data, station precipitation data from the China Meteorological Administration, NOAA monthly average sea surface temperature (SST) and outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) data from 1980 to 2020 are used in this study to analyze the impact of the zonal position of the East Asian subtropical jet (EASJ) on summer precipitation in China, as well as its response to SST in the tropical central-eastern Pacific. The results indicate that in EASJ westward-shift years (WYs), upper-level convergence and lower-level divergence dominate over the Yangtze River Valley (YRV). The eastward displacement and weakening of the western Pacific subtropical high at 500 hPa is unfavorable for moisture transport to the YRV, leading to reduced precipitation. Meanwhile, upper-level divergence over the Hexi Corridor (HC) promotes rising motion, accompanied by lower-level moisture convergence, increasing precipitation in HC. In EASJ eastward-shift years (EYs), the WPSH strengthens and shifts westward. The convergence and divergence patterns in both upper and lower troposphere, along with moisture conditions and vertical motion in these two regions, exhibit reversed characteristics compared to those in WYs. As a result, precipitation anomalies display an opposite phase distribution relative to WYs. The zonal position of the EASJ is closely related to the summer SST in the tropical central-eastern Pacific. Negative (positive) SST anomalies in this region directly cool (warm) the atmosphere, suppressing (enhancing) local convective activity. These alterations modulate the Walker circulation and lead to anomalous ascending (descending) motion in the tropical western Pacific. The vertical motion anomalies further affect the mid-latitude region of East Asia through the meridional circulation, reducing (intensifying) convective activity near 30°N. Consequently, the meridional temperature gradient in the eastern part of the climatological jet region decreases (increases) due to the diabatic heating, which weakens (strengthens) the tropospheric westerlies and results in an anomalous westward (eastward) EASJ.