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郑淋淋, 张申䶮, 邱学兴, 等. 2023. 大别山对一次冷涡对流的作用分析[J]. 大气科学, 47(6): 2001−2019. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2205.21023
引用本文: 郑淋淋, 张申䶮, 邱学兴, 等. 2023. 大别山对一次冷涡对流的作用分析[J]. 大气科学, 47(6): 2001−2019. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2205.21023
ZHENG Linlin, ZHANG Shenyan, QIU Xuexing, et al. 2023. Impacts of the Dabie Mountains on a Mesoscale Convective System that Occurred in the Background of the Northeast Cold Vortex [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 47(6): 2001−2019. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2205.21023
Citation: ZHENG Linlin, ZHANG Shenyan, QIU Xuexing, et al. 2023. Impacts of the Dabie Mountains on a Mesoscale Convective System that Occurred in the Background of the Northeast Cold Vortex [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 47(6): 2001−2019. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2205.21023

大别山对一次冷涡对流的作用分析

Impacts of the Dabie Mountains on a Mesoscale Convective System that Occurred in the Background of the Northeast Cold Vortex

  • 摘要: 2017年5月14日江淮地区发生了一次冷涡对流过程,造成短时强降水、冰雹和雷暴大风等强对流天气。此次冷涡对流造成的强对流天气剧烈、预报难度大,同时受地形作用,影响因子复杂,有必要对其开展研究。本文采用集合卡曼滤波技术同化雷达径向风、雷达反演风、GPS水汽、探空和地面加密观测资料,模拟此次对流系统发生发展过程,并采用敏感性试验研究太阳辐射和大别山的作用。观测和数值试验表明,此次过程是冷涡对流在南压过程中,冷池遇到大别山地形,在大别山触发对流,大别山对流南移加强并与冷涡对流组织成短对流线。试验表明,太阳辐射是影响冷涡对流和大别山对流发生发展的关键因子,地形通过对太阳辐射的加强作用影响大别山对流发生发展。此次过程大别山局地对流分别在三处生成(称为A、B和C),影响其发生的主要因子略有差异。大别山北坡、距离冷涡对流最近的局地对流A发生发展的主要影响因子是冷池和太阳辐射,地形是次要因子,地形通过加强冷池抬升和加强太阳辐射的加热效应影响对流发展。距离冷涡对流较远的对流B和C生成时间接近,主要影响因子是太阳辐射,地形是次要因子。大别山对流和冷涡对流组织成对流线是两个冷池作用的过程,大别山对流冷池和冷涡对流冷池中间形成的辐合区相当于在二者之间建立一个“连接桥”,使西部的大别山对流向东发展,同时二者之间的对流得到加强,将东部的冷涡对流和西部的大别山对流连接起来,形成一条短对流线。

     

    Abstract: A severe convective case occurred in the background of the northeast cold vortex (CC) on May 14, 2017, in the Yangtze and Huaihe River Base, which brought short-term intense precipitation, hail, and high wind. The CC affected by topography and solar radiation needs to be studied; it is difficult to forecast because of complex influencing factors. In this paper, the ensemble Kalman filter technique is used to assimilate the radar radial wind, radar-retrieved wind, GPS water vapor, radiosonde, and hourly surface observational data. The occurrence and development process of the convective system are simulated, and the impacts of solar radiation and the Dabie Mountains are studied by sensitivity experiments. Observational and numerical experiments demonstrate that the cold pool of CC encounters the Dabie Mountains and triggers convection in the mountain, which is then amplified by the cold pool and organized into a short linear system with the CC. Results demonstrate that solar radiation is the main factor that affects the occurrence and development of CC and the Dabie Mountain convection (DMC), and the topography affects the occurrence and development of DMC through the strengthening effects of solar radiation. In this case, DMCs are generated at three places ( A, B, and C), and the main affecting factors are slightly different. Cold pool and solar radiation are the main factors that affect the occurrence and development of DMC, which is nearest to CC and on the north slope of the Dabie Mountains. The topography is a secondary factor affecting the development of convection by strengthening the lifting of the cold pool and the short wave radiation heating of solar radiation. The generation time of convection B and C is close, and they both have a certain distance from CC. The main influencing factor is solar radiation, and the topography is the secondary factor. Induced by their cold pools, the DMC and CC organize into a short linear system. The convergence area formed between the cold pools of DMC and CC establishes a connecting bridge between them so that the western DMC develops eastward, and the convection in the middle of them is amplified. Eventually, the eastern CC and the western DMC connect to form a short convective linear system.

     

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