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郑飞, 张小娟, 曹庭伟. 2024. 西太平洋暖池海洋热浪在2020~2022三年拉尼娜事件爆发背景下的演变特征、爆发机制及其影响研究[J]. 大气科学, 48(1): 376−390. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2311.23325
引用本文: 郑飞, 张小娟, 曹庭伟. 2024. 西太平洋暖池海洋热浪在2020~2022三年拉尼娜事件爆发背景下的演变特征、爆发机制及其影响研究[J]. 大气科学, 48(1): 376−390. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2311.23325
ZHENG Fei, ZHANG Xiaojuan, CAO Tingwei. 2024. Analysis of Evolution Characteristics, Physical Mechanisms, and Impacts of Marine Heat Waves in the Western Pacific Warm Pool under the Background of Triple-Year La Niña from 2020 to 2022 [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 48(1): 376−390. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2311.23325
Citation: ZHENG Fei, ZHANG Xiaojuan, CAO Tingwei. 2024. Analysis of Evolution Characteristics, Physical Mechanisms, and Impacts of Marine Heat Waves in the Western Pacific Warm Pool under the Background of Triple-Year La Niña from 2020 to 2022 [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 48(1): 376−390. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2311.23325

西太平洋暖池海洋热浪在2020~2022三年拉尼娜事件爆发背景下的演变特征、爆发机制及其影响研究

Analysis of Evolution Characteristics, Physical Mechanisms, and Impacts of Marine Heat Waves in the Western Pacific Warm Pool under the Background of Triple-Year La Niña from 2020 to 2022

  • 摘要: 在全球变暖的影响下,持续增长的海洋热浪事件(marine heat waves,MHW)对气候系统和社会经济产生了严重影响,其中西太平洋暖池区域是MHW特征显著变化的典型区域。本文基于已建立的MHW高分辨率数据、美国国家环境预报中心(NCEP)提供的大气海洋再分析资料、美国宇航局(NASA)Aqua卫星和生物地球化学Argo浮标提供的叶绿素-a浓度资料,利用统计分析和奇异值分解(SVD)等方法,探讨了2020~2022年西太平洋暖池MHW的演变特征、爆发机制及其生态影响。结果表明,西太平洋暖池MHW的爆发频率和强度等在近30年显著增加,其特征属性的变化与连续La Niña事件的爆发密切相关。尤其在2020~2022年连续三年La Niña事件背景下,西太平洋暖池区MHW爆发频次达到全球最高,且其覆盖面积、爆发频次、总天数、累积强度均是1982年以来最显著的。通过对西太平洋暖池区域混合层热收支的分析,2020~2022年期间MHW爆发主要是净海表热通量中的向下短波辐射项和海洋动力过程中的纬向平流项共同主导。此外,研究也揭示了在西太平洋暖池区域,MHW与海洋生态指标叶绿素-a浓度时空尺度上呈现负相关协同变化的特征,尤其是2020~2022年的MHW事件使该区域海洋上层浮游生物量整体呈显著下降趋势。

     

    Abstract: Under the influence of global warming, the continuously growing marine heat wave (MHW) has a serious impact on the climate system and social economy, of which the Western Pacific Warm Pool (WPWP) area is a typical area of MHW characteristic changes. Based on the MHW database, the National Centers for Environmental Prediction atmospheric and oceanic reanalysis data, and the chlorophyll a concentration data provided by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration Aqua satellite and the Biogeochemical-Argo floats, we explore the evolution characteristics, physical mechanisms, and ecological impacts of MHW in the WPWP from 2020 to 2022 using statistical methods, such as composite analysis and singular value decomposition. The results showed that MHW properties in the WPWP region have increased significantly in the past 30 years and are closely related to the continuous La Niña events. Under the background of multiyear La Niña events from 2020 to 2022, the frequency of MHW in the WPWP reached the highest in the world, and the coverage area, frequency, total days, and cumulative intensity of MHW have been the most notable since 1982. The mixed layer heat budget equation in the WPWP region shows that the occurrence of the strongest MHW from 2020 to 2022 is mainly dominated by the downward short-wave radiation term in the net flux and the latitudinal advection term in the marine dynamic processes. We also determine that the MHW properties and marine ecological indicator chlorophyll a concentration have a negative correlation on the spatial and temporal scales in the WPWP region, particularly the MHW events from 2020 to 2022 that caused a significant decline in the overall phytoplankton biomass in the upper ocean of the region.

     

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