高级检索

2008-2023年天津区域自动气象站小时气温数据的质量控制及均一性分析

Quality Control and Homogeneity Analysis of Hourly Surface Air Temperature for Regional Automatic Meteorological Station over 2008-2023 in Tianjin Area

  • 摘要: 为改进长序列区域自动站小时观测数据的质量,提升其在应对和适应气候变化服务支撑能力中的应用价值,本文以天津地区为例,通过数据质量控制和均一性分析处理,客观剔除了观测时间序列中错误数据的同时,较好地消除和评估了观测站迁站、观测仪器要素升级、采集器更新等非气候因素对区域自动站观测序列造成的系统偏差影响,研制得到2008—2023年区域自动气象站均一的小时气温数据。首先,在数据质量控制中,通过人工核实,置缺或修正了3类气温要素15个站148条内部一致性疑误信息;分别置缺小时平均气温、最高和最低气温气候异常值疑误信息3个站19条、18个站21条、31个站66条;对应空间一致性分别置缺疑误信息3个站5条、2个站2条和1个站1条。其次,均一化分析中,利用惩罚最大F检验(PMFT),结合台站元数据,剔除了具有统计显著断点且有确切元数据支持的6个台站。最后,通过与对应11个行政区国家站观测数据的对比评估,结果表明研制的区域自动站小时气温数据是相对可靠的。另外,基于研制的106个区域自动站小时观测数据分析表明,近10年来天津地区,最高气温的增加趋势和变化幅度相对最为明显,其次是平均气温,而最低气温相对最小,特别是秋季,其最高气温有100%的区域站表现出增加趋势,其中63.2%统计显著(?? = 0.05),幅度范围为1.316—3.760°C/10yr。

     

    Abstract: In order to improve the quality of hourly observations with long-term series at regional automatic observation station, as well as enhance its application value in coping with and adapting to climate change, the homogenous hourly temperature data of regional automatic weather station over 2008-2023 has been developed, taking Tianjin area as an example. This dataset eliminates erroneous values from the observational time series objectively, it has also effectively mitigated and evaluated the systematic bias impact caused by non-climatic factors such as station relocation, upgrade of observational instrument elements, and collector renewal on the time series of regional automatic observation station. Firstly, in the data quality control, 148 errors of 15 stations detected by internal consistency for the three temperatures were set to the missing value or corrected by manual verification. And 19 errors of 3 stations, 21 errors of 18 stations and 66 errors of 31 stations were set to missing values detected by climate outlier, for hourly mean temperature, maximum and minimum temperature, respectively. Correspondingly, for the detecting results from the spatial consistency, 5 errors of 3 stations, 2 errors of 2 stations and 1 error of 1 station were also set to missing values. Secondly, in the homogenization analysis, 6 stations were eliminated by means of the maximum penalty F test (PMFT) combined with station metadata, which had statistically significant breakpoints supported by accurate metadata. Finally, the developed hourly temperature data of regional automatic observation station was verified relatively reliable by comparing with the corresponding observations of the national stations at 11 administrative regions in Tianjin. In addition, using the hourly data of 106 regional automatic observation stations, it is shown that the increasing trend and the amplitude of the maximum temperature in Tianjin during the recent 10 years is relatively the most significant, followed by the mean temperature, and the minimum temperature is relatively the least, especially in autumn, 100% of its regional automatic observation stations show an increasing trend in the maximum temperature, among which 63.2% are statistically significant (?? = 0.05), with the amplitude range of 1.316-3.760°C/10yr.

     

/

返回文章
返回