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1980~2019年中国度假气候舒适性及影响因子演变特征

Long-Term Trends of Holiday Climate Comfort and Related Meteorological Factors over China during 1980–2019

  • 摘要: 利用气象站点观测的逐日降水量、最高气温、平均相对湿度、总云量和平均风速等资料,研究了1980~2019年中国度假气候舒适性及气象影响因素的长期变化趋势。结果表明:全国平均年度假气候舒适日数131.1 d,逐月舒适日数呈双峰型分布,春秋季多、冬夏季少。在气候变暖背景下,受有效温度和日平均风速的影响,中国度假气候舒适日数呈显著增加趋势;同时在有效温度、总云量和降水量的共同影响下,度假气候舒适日数年内的双峰型分布更加明显。华北、黄淮、江淮以及新疆、云南是度假气候舒适日数较多的地区,而青藏高原地区舒适日数较少。中国大部分地区度假气候舒适日数呈增加趋势,仅在华北、华南中部等地呈减少趋势。冬、春、秋三季中国大部分地区度假气候舒适日数呈增加趋势,而在夏季呈减少趋势。中国度假气候舒适性的长期变化趋势主要受有效温度影响。研究气候变化对中国度假气候舒适性的影响,有利于合理开发和利用气候资源,为中国旅游业的可持续发展提供保障。

     

    Abstract: This study utilized observational data from meteorological stations across China from 1980 to 2019, including daily measurements of precipitation, maximum temperature, humidity, cloud cover, and wind speed. Based on these meteorological variables, a holiday climate index (HCI) was constructed to evaluate the climatic suitability for holidays across China. These findings revealed that the average annual number of mean holiday comfort days (HCDs) in China is 131.1, characterized by a bimodal distribution throughout the year, higher in spring and autumn and lower in winter and summer. The analysis also indicated a significant increasing trend in the annual mean HCDs, affected by effective temperature and wind speed. The bimodal distribution of HCDs is more prominent owing to the effects of effective temperature, cloud cover, and precipitation. The spatial distribution of annual mean HCDs across China is uneven. North China, Huanghuai, Jianghuai, Xinjiang, and Yunnan Provinces enjoy a greater number of HCDs compared to other areas. Conversely, Tibet has the fewest HCDs in China. Most areas display an increasing trend in HCDs, except for central South China and North China. Seasonal analysis shows that HCDs in winter, spring, and autumn are generally increasing across most parts of China, while they decrease during the summer. Playing close attention to how climate change affects holiday comfort in China can aid in the rational development and utilization of climate resources, which is crucial for safeguarding sustainable development of the tourism industry.

     

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