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太行山地形与水汽特征对“23·7”河北中部极端降水形成的影响机制

Influence Mechanism of Taihang Mountain Topography and Water Vapor Characteristics on the Formation of “23·7” Extreme Precipitation Event in Central Hebei

  • 摘要: 利用国家基准站降水观测数据、ERA5(European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis v5)再分析资料和WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting)中尺度数值模式,研究了水汽输送、收支及北段太行山地形对“23·7”河北中部极端降水过程的影响。结果表明:1)偏北偏强的副热带高压西伸和大陆高压打通形成“高压坝”,阻挡减弱台风“杜苏芮”的北上,加之西北太平洋台风“卡努”东移的共同影响,建立了两条水汽通道(1000~700 hPa),一条为西太平洋水汽通道,水汽主要集中在1000~900 hPa;另一条为南海水汽通道,水汽主要集中在900~850 hPa。2)河北中部主要的水汽输入边界为南边界和东边界,且以南边界为主,主要的水汽输出边界为北边界和西边界。河北中部小时降水量与区域水汽通量净收支呈正相关,2023年7月30日河北中部的水汽通量净收支约为29日和31日的4.7倍,为极端降水的发生发展提供有利的水汽条件。3)太行山地形对此次暴雨的落区和强度有一定的影响。受到北段太行山的阻挡,远距离输送的水汽在山前迎风坡及山前平原堆积。地表至700 hPa,东北风/偏东风在山前迎风坡强迫抬升,且山前平原处稳定存在东南风与东北风的辐合,有利于山前迎风坡至山前平原一带稳定维持强盛而持久的垂直上升运动,这种较强且深厚的水汽辐合和垂直输送利于河北中部产生强降水。

     

    Abstract: According to precipitation observations from the national reference station, ERA5 (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis v5) data, and the WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) mesoscale numerical model, this study aims to examine the water vapor transport, budget, and the influence of Taihang Mountain topography on the extreme precipitation process that occurred in central Hebei during the “23·7” extreme precipitation event. The results indicate the following: 1) Following the westward extension of the strong subtropical high, a “high-pressure dam” was formed in conjunction with the continental high, effectively blocking the northward movement of the weakened Typhoon “Du Suri.” This, combined with the eastward movement of typhoon “Kanu” in the Northwest Pacific, established two water vapor channels (spanning 1000–700 hPa). One of these channels is the West Pacific water vapor channel, with water vapor mainly concentrated at 1000–900 hPa. The other channel is the South China Sea water vapor channel, with water vapor mainly concentrated at 850–900 hPa. 2) The main water vapor input boundaries in central Hebei are the southern and eastern boundaries, of which the southern boundary is the main boundary. The main water vapor output boundaries are the northern and western boundaries. A positive correlation is observed between hourly precipitation and the net water vapor flux budget in central Hebei. The net water vapor flux budget in central Hebei on 30 July was approximately 4.7 times that on 29 and 31 July 2023, providing favorable conditions for the occurrence and development of extreme precipitation. 3) The topography of the Taihang Mountains considerably influences the area and intensity of the rainstorm. Blocked by the northern Taihang Mountains, long-distance water vapor transport accumulates in the piedmont and the piedmont plain. From the surface to 700 hPa, the northeasterly/easterly winds are forced to ascend in front of the mountain, resulting in a stable convergence of southeast and northeast winds in the piedmont plain. This convergence facilitates a sustained and strong vertical upward movement from the piedmont to the piedmont plain. This robust and deep water vapor convergence, combined with vertical transport, contributes to the occurrence of intense precipitation in the piedmont and the piedmont plain.

     

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