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元慧慧, 李杰, 王彦磊, 叶明雯, 马亮. 1951~2007年南疆地区气温异常的时空变化特征[J]. 气候与环境研究, 2012, 17(5): 541-548. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2011.09094
引用本文: 元慧慧, 李杰, 王彦磊, 叶明雯, 马亮. 1951~2007年南疆地区气温异常的时空变化特征[J]. 气候与环境研究, 2012, 17(5): 541-548. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2011.09094
YUAN Huihui, LI Jie, WANG Yanlei, YE Mingwen, MA Liang. Spatio-temporal Features of Air Temperature Anomaly of South Xinjiang during 1951-2007[J]. Climatic and Environmental Research, 2012, 17(5): 541-548. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2011.09094
Citation: YUAN Huihui, LI Jie, WANG Yanlei, YE Mingwen, MA Liang. Spatio-temporal Features of Air Temperature Anomaly of South Xinjiang during 1951-2007[J]. Climatic and Environmental Research, 2012, 17(5): 541-548. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2011.09094

1951~2007年南疆地区气温异常的时空变化特征

Spatio-temporal Features of Air Temperature Anomaly of South Xinjiang during 1951-2007

  • 摘要: 采用1951~2007年南疆地区站点月平均气温资料和NCAR/NCEP气候月平均资料,运用二项式系数加权平均法、Morlet小波变换等方法分析了南疆地区冬季和夏季气温的季节—年际气候变化特征,及气温异常的时空变化特征。结论如下:南疆地区冬季和夏季气温在气候态上差异明显,1980年代以前的冬季主要为气温负异常,1980年代以后呈现气温异常升高,到2000年以后又开始出现偏冷趋势;夏季气温偏差小于冬季,57 a间南疆夏季气温大致出现两波振荡,异常偏热期大致处于1950年代、1970年代后期和21世纪初,呈20~25 a振荡。冷冬年的频次多于暖冬年,热夏年的频次多于凉夏年。偏冷年在57 a时间段内所占比例最多,气温异常低的幅度大于气温异常高的幅度。南疆冬季气温存在2个显著振荡:6~10 a的年际周期和18~20 a的年代际周期;夏季气温有1个最显著的振荡,稳定的20 a为中心的周期。不同的年代和季节气温及气温偏差分布各不相同。从气温长期演变趋势来看不论冬夏南疆北部(天山山脉以南)气温升高,塔里木盆地以及南疆南部地区气温降低。冬季升温区的升温幅度比夏季升温区大,夏季降温区的降温幅度比冬季降温区大。

     

    Abstract: With binomial coefficient smoothing and Morlet wavelet analysis, the anomaly time characteristics, inter-annual climate, and the spatio-temporal-varying characteristics of the temperature anomalies were analyzed using air temperature observations from stations in South Xinjiang from 1951 to 2007. The results show a pronounced difference in air temperature between winter and summer, mainly negative anomalies before the 1980s and a change to positive temperature anomalies after the 1980s; after 2000 a cooling trend appeared. The temperature deviation in summer was less than that in winter; this deviation appears in two waves during the 57-year period. Abnormally warm periods occurred in the late 1950s, the late 1970s, and at the beginning of this century, showing a 20-25-year oscillation. The frequency of abnormal temperature was 30% in winter and 26% in summer. There were more cold winters than warm winters, and more hot summers than cooler summers. More cold years appeared in the 57-year period than warmer ones and the extent of lower air temperature was greater than that of higher air temperature. The winter temperature in South Xinjiang showed two significant oscillations: a 6-10-year inter-annual cycle and an 18-20-year inter-decadal cycle. The summer temperature showed one significant oscillation: a 20-year inter-decadal cycle. The distribution of temperature and abnormal temperature varied with different decades and seasons. However, according to the long-term trend of air temperature, the region north of South Xinjiang (southern Tianshan Mountain) became hotter, while the Tarim basin and the region south of South Xinjiang became cooler. The temperature-ascending extent in winter was greater than that in summer in the calefactive area while the temperature-descending extent in summer was greater than that in winter in the descensional area.

     

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