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李蔼恂, 肖辉, 周筠珺, 杨慧玲, 鲍向东. 河南省春季和秋季降水时空变化的特征研究[J]. 气候与环境研究, 2012, 17(6): 884-896. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2012.06.25
引用本文: 李蔼恂, 肖辉, 周筠珺, 杨慧玲, 鲍向东. 河南省春季和秋季降水时空变化的特征研究[J]. 气候与环境研究, 2012, 17(6): 884-896. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2012.06.25
LI Aixun, XIAO Hui, ZHOU Junjun, YANG Huiling, BAO Xiangdong. Characteristics of Spatio-Temporal Distribution of Spring and Autumn Precipitation in Henan Province[J]. Climatic and Environmental Research, 2012, 17(6): 884-896. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2012.06.25
Citation: LI Aixun, XIAO Hui, ZHOU Junjun, YANG Huiling, BAO Xiangdong. Characteristics of Spatio-Temporal Distribution of Spring and Autumn Precipitation in Henan Province[J]. Climatic and Environmental Research, 2012, 17(6): 884-896. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2012.06.25

河南省春季和秋季降水时空变化的特征研究

Characteristics of Spatio-Temporal Distribution of Spring and Autumn Precipitation in Henan Province

  • 摘要: 进行人工增雨作业和规划必须了解目标地区的气候背景, 才能有较好的作业效果, 因此根据河南省1971~2001 年114 个气象站点4 月和10 月的降水资料, 采用具有分类显著性检验的聚类统计检验分析方法进行分区, 并在此基础上对降水距平百分率、降水强度和雨日数等参数作分析, 研究其各分区降水的时、空变化特征和演变规律。结果表明:(1)河南省4 月和10 月降水量和雨日数具有明显的区域性分布特征, 均呈现北少南多、东北少西南多的特点;月平均降水量从北向南增大主要是雨日数从北向南的增加起决定性的作用, 其中以中雨雨日数的增加起主导作用。(2)4 月各分区降水量和雨日数的年际演变趋势均呈减少趋势;10 月各分区的降水量呈减少趋势, 但雨日数的年际演变呈现不同的趋势, 个别分区强度较小降水(小雨和中雨)的雨日数呈增加趋势。(3)从旱涝年份情况上看, 4 月和10 月各分区在31 年中均以干旱、少雨年居多, 并且均以无降水日、小雨雨日占多数。其中, 4 月河南省最北部的分区(分区1)和最南部的分区(分区5)是干旱年出现最为频繁的区域, 其余分区干旱年出现的频数较接近;各等级强度降水的雨日数均以分区5 最多, 以分区1 最少;10 月河南最北部的分区(分区1)是旱涝年发生最为频繁的区域, 其余分区旱涝年出现频数较接近, 各等级强度降水的日数均以河南最南部的分区(分区4)最多, 而分区1 最少。这些结果对河南省开展人工增雨作业布局规划和人工增雨效果检验是有重要参考价值的。

     

    Abstract: To achieve more effective operation, the climate background of the target area must be understood when conducting artificial precipitation enhancement operations. A total of 114 meteorological stations in Henan Province were partitioned by cluster analysis with the statistical test method on the basis of precipitation data of April and October during 1971-2001. The regional characteristics of temporal and spatial distributions of precipitation and their variation tendency in this province were then analyzed by precipitation anomaly percentage, precipitation intensity, and number of rain days. The distributions of precipitation and rain days of April and October showed remarkable regional characteristics, increasing from north to south and from northeast to southwest. The regional feature of monthly rainfall was determined mainly by the distribution of rain days with an increase tendency from north to south, in which the increase of moderate rain days plays a decisive role. The yearly variation trends of precipitation and rain days of April in each partitioned area decreased during the 31-year period, and the yearly variation trends of precipitation of October in all partitioned areas are decreased. However, the rain days with different intensities in October showed a different yearly trend; those with weak intensities in individual areas trended to increase. Among the 31 years, dry years and insignificant rain years were dominant both in April and October, and the days of little or no rain occurred often. A comparison of the distributions of precipitation and rain days in the six partitioned areas of April revealed that Area 1 and Area 5, which are located in the northern and southern parts of Henan Province, respectively, had most frequent drought occurrence; and the remaining areas showed similar frequencies of drought occurrences during the dry years. Area 5 had the most rain days with varied rain intensity, while Area 1 had the least. For the distributions of precipitation and rain days of the four partitioned areas of October, Area 1 showed the highest frequency of drought and flood occurrences; the remaining areas showed similar frequencies of drought occurrences during the dry years. Area 4, which is located in the southern part of Henan Province, had the most rain days, while Area 1 has the least. The results of this study can provide an important reference for the layout, planning, and effectiveness evaluation of artificial rain enhancement projects.

     

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