高级检索

留言板

尊敬的读者、作者、审稿人, 关于本刊的投稿、审稿、编辑和出版的任何问题, 您可以本页添加留言。我们将尽快给您答复。谢谢您的支持!

姓名
邮箱
手机号码
标题
留言内容
验证码

我国南方输电线路覆冰极值序列重建试验

江志红 杭月荷 刘冬 吴息 熊海星

江志红, 杭月荷, 刘冬, 吴息, 熊海星. 我国南方输电线路覆冰极值序列重建试验[J]. 气候与环境研究, 2013, 18(3): 407-413. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2012.12011
引用本文: 江志红, 杭月荷, 刘冬, 吴息, 熊海星. 我国南方输电线路覆冰极值序列重建试验[J]. 气候与环境研究, 2013, 18(3): 407-413. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2012.12011
JIANG Zhihong, HANG Yuehe, LIU Dong, WU Xi, XIONG Haixing. Reconstruction of an Extreme Wire Icing Series in Southern China[J]. Climatic and Environmental Research, 2013, 18(3): 407-413. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2012.12011
Citation: JIANG Zhihong, HANG Yuehe, LIU Dong, WU Xi, XIONG Haixing. Reconstruction of an Extreme Wire Icing Series in Southern China[J]. Climatic and Environmental Research, 2013, 18(3): 407-413. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2012.12011

我国南方输电线路覆冰极值序列重建试验

doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2012.12011
基金项目: 国家科技支撑计划课题2008BAK50B02-04;西南电力设计院委托项目“输电线路覆冰数学模型研究”

Reconstruction of an Extreme Wire Icing Series in Southern China

  • 摘要: 基于我国南方有覆冰数据记录的气象站冰厚年极值及同期气象要素观测资料,统计分析多种气象因子对覆冰年极值形成条件频次分布的影响,归纳出了最易于出现覆冰年极值的温度、风速和湿度条件。在此基础上,通过对西南地区威宁、金佛山、峨眉山和三穗4站覆冰年极值与其相应气象变量的进一步分析,建立了覆冰极值序列的回归模型。根据现有气象站电线结冰资料及其对应时段的常规气象要素资料,对气象站电线结冰年极值序列进行重建试验,试验结果表明不同气候背景下覆冰极值序列的回归模型有显著差异。独立样本的交叉检验结果显示,威宁站年极值序列的回归模型效果较理想,重建序列能够较好地模拟覆冰的极值序列。
  • [1] 胡毅, 胡建勋, 刘廷. 2008. 我国南方地区电网大范围覆冰灾害的特点分析与防治措施[J]. 电力设备, 9 (6): 1-4. Hu Yi, Hu Jianxun, Liu Ting. 2008. Analysis and countermeasures for large area icing accident on power grid in Northern China[J]. Electrical Equipment (in Chinese), 9 (6): 1-4.
    [2] 黄浩辉, 宋丽莉, 秦鹏, 等. 2010. 粤北地区导线覆冰气象特征与标准厚度推算[J]. 热带气象学报, 26 (1): 7-12. Huang Haohui, Song Lili, Qin Peng, et al. 2010. Meteorological characteristics and standard thickness calculations of wire icing over the north region of Guangdong Province [J]. Journal of Tropical Meteorology (in Chinese), 26 (1): 7-12.
    [3] 黄新波, 孙钦东, 张冠军, 等. 2008. 线路覆冰与局部气象因素的关系[J]. 高压电器, 44 (4): 289-294. Huang Xinbo, Sun Qindong, Zhang Guanjun, et al. 2008. Relation of transmission line icing and local meteorology[J]. High Voltage Apparatus (in Chinese), 44 (4): 289-294.
    [4] 江志红, 刘冬, 刘渝. 2010. 导线覆冰极值的概率分布模拟及其应用试验[J]. 大气科学学报, 33 (4): 385-394. Jiang Zhihong, Liu Dong, Liu Yu. 2010. Study on the probability distribution simulation of conductor icing and its application test[J]. Transactions of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 33 (4): 385-394.
    [5] 廖玉芳, 段丽洁. 2010. 湖南电线覆冰厚度估算模型研究[J]. 大气科学学报, 33 (4): 395-400. Liao Yufang, Duan Lijie. 2010. Study on estimation model of wire icing thickness in Hunan Province [J]. Transactions of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 33 (4): 395-400.
    [6] 陆佳政, 彭继文, 张红先, 等. 2009. 2008年湖南电网冰灾气象成因分析[J]. 电力建设, 30 (6): 29-32. Lu Jiazheng, Peng Jiwen, Zhang Hongxian, et al. 2009. Icing meteorological genetic analysis of hunan power grid in 2008[J]. Electric Power Construction (in Chinese), 30 (6): 29-32.
    [7] 马开玉, 张耀存, 陈星. 2004. 现代应用统计学[M]. 北京: 气象出版社, 91-92. Ma Kaiyu, Zhang Yaocun, Chen Xing. 2004. Modern Application Statistics (in Chinese)[M]. Beijing: China Meteorological Press, 91-92.
    [8] 魏凤英. 2009. 现代气候统计诊断与预测技术[M]. 北京: 气象出版社, 30-32. Wei Fengying. 2009. Modern Climatological Statistical Diagnosis and Prediction Methods[M] (in Chinese). Beijing: China Meteorological Press, 30-32.
    [9] 谢志清, 姜爱军, 杜银, 等. 2005. 长江三角洲强降水过程年极值分布特征研究[J]. 南京气象学院学报, 28 (2): 268-274. Xie Zhiqing, Jiang Aijun, Du Yin, et al. 2005. Spatial-temproal features of annual extremes of heavy precipitation processes in the Yangtze River delta[J]. Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology (in Chinese), 28 (2): 268-274.
    [10] 许月萍, 任立新, 黄艳, 等. 2009. 水文极值计算及其不确定性[J]. 应用基础与工程科学学报, 17 (2): 172-178. Xu Yueping, Ren Lixin, Huang Yan, et al. 2009. Hydrological extreme analysis and its uncertainty[J]. Journal of Basic Science and Engineering (in Chinese), 17 (2): 172-178.
  • 加载中
计量
  • 文章访问数:  2825
  • HTML全文浏览量:  12
  • PDF下载量:  3063
  • 被引次数: 0
出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2012-01-15
  • 修回日期:  2013-01-26

目录

    /

    返回文章
    返回