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一次甘肃省东部强降水过程中多个中尺度对流系统的对比

Comparison of Multiple Mesoscale Convective Systems during a Heavy Rainfall in Eastern Gansu Province

  • 摘要: 利用多源观测资料和ERA5再分析数据,对比分析了2022年7月15~16日甘肃省东部强降水过程中多个中尺度对流系统(Mesoscale Convective Systems, MCSs)的差异。结果表明:(1)此次过程依次由影响宁夏南部至陕北的准静止性MCS-A、相继东移影响甘肃东南大部的MCS-B、甘肃陇东东部局地发展起来的MCS-C和陕西西部的断线状MCS-D造成,形成了4条雨带。(2)MCS-A发生在暖区降水阶段15日00时(北京时,下同)至12时,其雨带1范围小、累计雨量大、对流性强且变化平稳,局地发生极端特大暴雨,为过程最强。其余3个MCS均发生在斜压锋生降水阶段(15日13时至16日02时),其雨带2、3、4分别发生在MCS-B触发、MCS-B与MCS-C合并后发展为飑线、飑线断裂与MCS-D合并再次加强阶段,雨带3、4降水强度较强,而雨带2较弱。(3)MCS-A的云顶结构呈孤立发展起来的准椭圆形云团,中低层对流结构呈准静止后向建立形态,列车效应显著。而MCS-B、MCS-C和MCS-D则发展合并成了呈带状分布的中尺度持续拉伸型对流系统,中低层对流结构显示均属尾随层状形态。(4)MCS-A发展期间,地面上两个呈掎角之势的冷池长时间维持。MCS-A由下游冷池2的出流边界、上游冷池1阻挡转向产生的辐合、中尺度锋生及弱温湿扰动等作用触发,后通过冷池与低层垂直风切变相平衡,低空急流的风速脉动、平流与传播互相抵消等机制长时间维持。(5)MCS-B由700 hPa切变线触发,之后不同性质地面辐合线形成的“三重点”和较强的温湿扰动先后触发了MCS-C和MCS-D。通过它们之间的多次合并,中低层较强的水汽输送和锋生作用以及中高层的冷空气侵入而维持。

     

    Abstract: Based on multisource observational data and ERA5 reanalysis data, the differences of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) were analyzed during heavy rainfall in eastern Gansu Province from 15 to 16 July 2022. The results show that: (1) This process was successively caused by the quasi-stationary MCS-A affecting from southern Ningxia to northern Shaanxi, MCS-B affecting most of southeast Gansu, MCS-C developing locally in eastern Longdong, Gansu, and broken line MCS-D forming in western Shaanxi, resulting in four rainbands. (2) MCS-A occurred during the precipitation stage 0000–1200 BJT (Beijing time) 15 July in the warm region; its rainband 1 had a small range, considerable cumulative rainfall, strong convection, and stable changes, with extreme heavy rain occurring locally, making it the strongest process. The other three MCSs occurred in the baroclinic frontal precipitation stage (1300 BJT 15 July to 0200 BJT 16 July). Rainbands 2, 3, and 4 occurred in the stages of MCS-B triggering, MCS-B merging with MCS-C to form a squall line, and the squall line fracture merging with MCS-D and strengthening again, respectively. Rainbands 3 and 4 exhibited higher precipitation intensity, whereas rainband 2 was weaker. (3) The cloud top structure of MCS-A is characterized by a quasi-oval cloud developed in isolation, with a back-building convection structure at the middle and lower levels, indicating a significant train effect. The cloud top structure reflects a banded mesoscale sustained stretching-type convective system formed from MCS-B, MCS-C, and MCS-D, with their mesoscale and lower convective structures showing a trailing stratiform pattern. (4) During the development of MCS-A, two persistent ground-based cold pools interacted. The initiation of MCS-A is linked to the outflow boundary from the downstream cold pool 2, as well as the convergence, mesoscale frontogenesis, and subtle temperature and humidity perturbations induced by the blocking effect of upstream cold pool 1. Subsequently, this system is sustained over an extended period through a phase equilibrium between the cold pool and lower-level vertical wind shear, fluctuations in low-level jet stream wind velocity, and the mutual cancellation of advection and propagation. (5) MCS-B was initiated by a 700-hPa shear line. Subsequently, as various types of surface convergence lines merged into a “three point” amidst intensified temperature and moisture disturbances, MCS-C and MCS-D were successively triggered. Their sustenance can be attributed to recurrent mergers, strong water vapor transport at mid-to-low levels, and the generation of cold air at mid-to-upper levels.

     

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