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基于机器学习方法的农田下垫面近地层湍流通量订正

On the Correction of Near-Surface Turbulent Fluxes over a Farmland Based on Machine Learning Methods

  • 摘要: 近地层湍流通量是表征地—气相互作用的重要变量,在梯度观测或大气数值模式中通常基于Monin-Obukhov相似理论(MOST)进行计算。为进一步提升近地层湍流通量的计算精度,本文以涡动相关法得到的表征湍流通量的特征量作为参考值,使用随机森林和XGBoost对MOST得到的表征湍流通量的特征量进行了订正,显著提高了特征温度和特征比湿的计算精度。为精简输入变量,本文进一步对输入变量进行了前向、后向变量选择,经变量选择后的最佳输入变量组合仍保持了较高的计算精度。此外,将选择后的输入变量组合应用到另一个机器学习模型(人工神经网络)时,其计算精度也在MOST结果的基础上取得了显著提高,可见该变量选择方法可有效精简机器学习所需要的输入变量。

     

    Abstract: Surface-layer turbulent fluxes are crucial variables for characterizing the land–atmosphere interaction. These fluxes are typically calculated using gradient observations or atmospheric numerical models based on MOST (Monin–Obukhov Similarity Theory). In this study, characteristic quantities for turbulent fluxes derived from MOST are corrected using random forest and XGBoost models, with eddy covariance–derived fluxes serving as reference values. The corrections significantly improve the accuracy of characteristic quantities for fluxes estimate especially the temperature scale and moisture scale. The forward and backward selections were performed for the input variables to reduce their count. The optimal combinations of input variables obtained after these selections maintained a high level of computational accuracy. Furthermore, when these selected combinations were provided as inputs to an artificial neural network, the computational accuracy of the fluxes improved significantly compared with that of the uncorrected MOST-derived fluxes. These findings confirm that selecting input variables is crucial for optimizing machine learning applications in surface-layer-flux correction.

     

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