高级检索

高空冷云影响下的2017年6月6日长治上空一次晴空湍流的数值模拟研究

Numerical Simulation Study of A Clear-air Turbulence over Changzhi on June 6, 2017, under the Influence of Upper-level Cold Clouds

  • 摘要: 晴空颠簸是影响飞机安全运行和旅客旅行舒适度的重要恶劣天气之一。为了研究2017年6月6日02:10(协调世界时)发生在山西省长治市上空的一次强烈的晴空颠簸事件的产生机制,本文使用常规观测资料、NOAA-15和NOAA-18卫星辐射资料并通过天气学分析和中尺度WRF数值模式以及GSI(Grid point Statistical Interpolation)同化系统同化等方法,对此次事件开展了数值模拟和机理研究。结果表明:该次飞机颠簸事件是一个典型的高空急流—锋区耦合系统导致的晴空湍流所致,高空急流是导致晴空湍流的主要因素之一。导致该次晴空湍流事件发生的是大气一系列要素对冷空气入侵的响应。高空冷云(冷空气)发展南下是促进此次强颠簸事件发生的重要诱因。由于高空冷云的南下,使得长治上空温度经向梯度增加,而长治上空温度经向梯度增加,使得中纬度风切变增大,增大的水平风垂直切变,导致理查森数(Ri)数值变小,而较小的Ri值是产生K-H(Kelvin-Helmholtz)不稳定的必要条件,由于K-H不稳定导致了长治上空出现晴空湍流。此外,中尺度WRF模式以及GSI同化系统能够较好地模拟颠簸区附近的大气温度场特征,表明文中的数值预报流程对于大气温度、风场以及晴空湍流的发展具有一定的预报能力。

     

    Abstract: CAT (Clear-Air Turbulence) is one of the important severe weather conditions that affect aircraft safety and passenger comfort. The mechanism of a severe CAT event that occurred over Changzhi, Shanxi Province, at 0210 UTC on June 6, 2017, was investigated via numerical simulation and a mechanism study of this event using conventional observation data, NOAA-15 and NOAA-18 satellite radiation data, meteorological analysis, a mesoscale WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) numerical model, and a GSI (Grid point Statistical Interpolation) data assimilation system. Results show that the aircraft turbulence is caused by the CAT, primarily resulting from a typical upper-level front-jet system. CAT is triggered by a series of atmospheric responses to the cold air intrusion. The southward movement of upper-level cold clouds (cold air) mainly promotes this severe turbulence event and increases the meridional gradient of temperature over Changzhi, thereby increasing the mid-latitude wind shear. The increased vertical shear of horizontal wind decreases the Ri (Richardson number) value, which causes K-H (Kelvin-Helmholtz) instability and leads to CAT over Changzhi. In addition, the mesoscale WRF model and GSI assimilation system are capable of simulating the characteristics of the atmospheric temperature field near the turbulence area with good accuracy. This indicates that the numerical prediction process used in this study possesses certain forecasting capabilities for atmospheric temperatures, wind fields, and CAT development.

     

/

返回文章
返回