高级检索

2008~2023年天津区域自动气象站小时气温数据的质量控制及均一性分析

Quality Control and Homogeneity Analysis of Hourly Surface Air Temperature at Regional Automatic Meteorological Stations in the Tianjin Area during 2008–2023

  • 摘要: 为了改进长序列区域自动站小时观测数据的质量,提升其在应对和适应气候变化服务支撑能力中的应用价值,本文以天津地区为例,通过数据质量控制和均一性分析处理,客观剔除了观测时间序列中错误数据的同时,较好地消除和评估了观测站迁站、观测仪器要素升级、采集器更新等非气候因素对区域自动站观测序列造成的系统偏差影响,研制得到2008~2023年区域自动气象站均一的小时气温数据。首先,在数据质量控制中,通过人工核实,置为缺测(简称置缺)或修正了3类气温要素15个站148条内部一致性疑误信息;分别置缺小时平均气温、最高和最低气温气候异常值疑误信息3个站19条、18个站21条、31个站66条;对应空间一致性分别置缺疑误信息3个站5条、2个站2条和1个站1条。其次,均一化分析中,利用惩罚最大F检验(PMFT),结合台站元数据,剔除了具有统计显著断点且有确切元数据支持的6个台站。最后,通过与对应11个行政区国家站观测数据的对比评估,结果表明研制的区域自动站小时气温数据是相对可靠的。基于研制的106个区域自动站小时观测数据分析表明,近10年来天津地区,最高气温的增加趋势和变化幅度相对最为明显,其次是平均气温,而最低气温相对最小,特别是秋季,其最高气温有100%的区域站表现出增加趋势,其中63.2%的统计结果通过了0.05的显著性水平检验,幅度范围为1.316~3.760°C (10 a)−1

     

    Abstract: This study aims to improve the quality of long-term hourly observations at regional automatic observation stations and enhance their application value in coping with and adapting to climate change. To this end, homogeneous hourly temperature data from regional automatic weather stations during 2008–2023 are developed, taking the Tianjin area as the study site. This dataset objectively eliminates erroneous values from the observational time series and effectively mitigates and evaluates the systematic bias caused by non-climatic factors such as station relocation, instrument upgrades, and collector renewal on the time series. First, in the data quality control process, 148 errors at 15 stations were detected through internal consistency checks for three temperature variables and were set to missing values or corrected through manual verification. In addition, 19 errors at 3 stations, 21 errors at 18 stations, and 66 errors at 31 stations were set to missing values based on climate outlier detection for hourly mean temperature, maximum temperature, and minimum temperature, respectively. Correspondingly, from the spatial consistency results, 5 errors at 3 stations, 2 errors at 2 stations, and 1 error at 1 station were set to missing values. Second, in the homogenization analysis, 6 stations with statistically significant breakpoints supported by accurate metadata were eliminated using the penalized maximal F test (PMFT) combined with station metadata. Finally, the developed hourly temperature data from regional automatic observation stations were verified as relatively reliable by comparison with corresponding observations from national stations across 11 administrative regions in Tianjin. In addition, analysis of hourly data from 106 regional automatic observation stations showed that the increasing trend and amplitude of the maximum temperature in Tianjin during the recent 10 years were relatively the most significant, followed by the mean temperature, while the minimum temperature showed the least increase. In particularly, during autumn, 100% of the regional automatic observation stations showed an increasing trend in maximum temperature, among which 63.2% were statistically at 0.05 significance level, with amplitudes ranging from 1.316°C to 3.760°C over the last 10 years.

     

/

返回文章
返回