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广西台风“海葵”残涡极端暴雨关键热动力过程

Key Thermodynamic Processes of an Extreme Rainstorm Caused by the Residual Vortex of Typhoon Haikui (2311) in Guangxi

  • 摘要: 受台风“海葵”残涡影响,2023年9月10~11日广西东南沿海出现一次极端暴雨过程,降雨强度大、落区重叠并伴有明显夜雨特征,多地雨量破建站以来观测纪录。利用多源实况观测及ERA5再分析资料,对此次极端暴雨成因及残涡维持的可能机制进行分析,结果表明:在大陆副热带高压减弱而西北太平洋副热带高压稳定维持的背景下,处于两高之间的“海葵”残涡受弱引导气流影响,导致其在广西一带稳定少动,配合强盛西南季风气流,促成此次极端暴雨过程。在最强降水开始前,暴雨中心附近已具备明显的强降水潜势,大气可降水量显著异常偏多。残涡东南侧边界层急流是促成极端暴雨的关键影响系统,起到了跨尺度联系残涡与局地极端暴雨的纽带作用,其发展增强与残涡东南侧经向气压梯度力作功导致的局地动能增长有关。边界层急流发展一方面通过低层辐合抬升配合残涡正涡度环流形成强垂直螺旋度,以及低层辐合、变形锋生强迫为强降水发展提供动力条件,另一方面使暴雨中心保持低层高温高湿,湿层增厚。深厚的暖平流加热层以及对流层中层潜热加热为残涡环流维持提供有利热力条件。夜间云贵高原东麓下坡扰动风以及北部湾向岸扰动风位相互相配合共同指向残涡中心,增强风场辐合效应,为残涡气旋性涡度发展维持提供动力条件。

     

    Abstract: Affected by the residual vortex of Typhoon Haikui (2311), an extreme rainstorm occurred along the southeast coast of Guangxi from September 10 to 11, 2023. The event featured intense rainfall, overlapping precipitation zones, and distinct nighttime rainfall characteristics, with many stations recording precipitation amounts that broke historical records. Based on multisource observations and ERA5 reanalysis data, the causes of the extreme rainstorm and the possible mechanism underlying the maintenance of the residual vortex were analyzed. The findings are as follows. Under the influence of a weakening continental high and a stable western Pacific subtropical high, the “Haikui” residual vortex, positioned between the two systems, was weakly guided by the steering flow and remained stationary over Guangxi. Working in tandem with a strong southwest monsoon flow, this condition led to the extreme rainstorm. The area near the rainstorm center exhibited a strong potential for heavy precipitation, and the precipitable water content was abnormally high before the peak rainfall. The boundary layer jet on the southeast side of the residual vortex served as the key influencing system for the extreme rainstorm, playing a cross-scale pivotal role in linking the residual vortex with local severe precipitation. Its nocturnal development was associated with an increase in local kinetic energy driven by the work done by the meridional pressure gradient force in the southeast quadrant of the residual vortex. The negative meridional geopotential height gradient on the southeast side, coupled with southerly winds, enhanced local kinetic energy and promoted the nighttime intensification of the boundary layer jet. The evolution of the boundary layer jet facilitated the formation of strong vertical helicity through low-level convergence uplift combined with the positive vorticity circulation of the residual vortex. Meanwhile, the frontogenesis forcing of convergence and deformation at low levels provided dynamic conditions favorable for heavy precipitation. Additionally, the rainstorm center maintained high temperature and humidity at lower levels and a deeper wet layer. The presence of a deep warm-advection heating layer and latent heating in the mid-troposphere created favorable thermal conditions for sustaining the residual vortex circulation. At night, perturbation downslope winds along the eastern slope of the Yunnan–Guizhou Plateau and perturbation onshore winds from the Beibu Gulf converged toward the center of the residual vortex. This interaction enhanced wind field convergence and provided dynamic conditions for the development and maintenance of cyclonic vorticity within the residual vortex.

     

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