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西南地区飞机颠簸的气象成因分析

Analysis of Meteorological Causes of Aircraft Turbulence in the Southwest Region

  • 摘要: 飞机颠簸主要由大气湍流引起,而湍流的形成与风速变化、温度变化、地形等因素密切相关。尤其在西南地区,由于地形复杂,高原对气流的抬升作用显著。飞机在穿越这些区域时,容易受到不稳定气流的影响,出现颠簸。利用再分析数据、地形数据、卫星数据和航空器空中报告对2024年4月4日由腾冲飞往昆明的MU5954航班颠簸事件进行分析,结果表明飞机颠簸位置下方为山脉迎风坡和背风坡的分界区域,气流不稳定。垂直速度、散度、涡度的正负相间分布和冷暖平流交汇,这些因素共同作用引发大气湍流,使飞机在飞行过程中易发生颠簸。

     

    Abstract: Aircraft turbulence is primarily caused by atmospheric turbulence, which is closely related to changes in wind speed, temperature, and topography. This phenomenon is especially pronounced in the southwestern region, where the complex terrain and the significant uplifting effect of the plateau on air currents make aircraft highly susceptible to turbulence. The turbulence event experienced by flight MU5954, operating from Tengchong to Kunming on 4 April 2024, was analyzed using reanalysis data, topography data, satellite data, and aircraft in-flight reports. The results showed that the turbulence occurred near the boundary between the windward and leeward slopes of the mountains, where the air currents were unstable. The alternating positive and negative distributions of vertical velocity, divergence, and vorticity in the upper-level jet stream, combined with the convergence of cold and warm airflows, jointly triggered atmospheric turbulence, making the aircraft susceptible to turbulence during flight.

     

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