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东亚副热带急流东西位置与我国夏季降水的关系及其对热带中东太平洋海温的响应

Impact of the East Asian Subtropical Jet’s Zonal Position on Summer Precipitation in China and Its Response to Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropical Central-Eastern Pacific

  • 摘要: 利用1980~2020年ERA5再分析资料、中国气象局提供的台站降水资料以及NOAA(美国国家海洋和大气管理局)月平均海表温度以及向外长波辐射通量(OLR)资料,分析了东亚副热带急流东西位置与我国夏季降水的关系及其对热带中东太平洋海温异常的响应。结果表明:东亚副热带急流异常偏西年,长江流域高层辐合,低层辐散,偏东偏弱的西太平洋副热带高压(简称西太副高)不利于水汽输送到长江流域,降水异常减少;河套地区高层辐散,伴随上升运动和水汽辐合,降水增多。急流异常偏东年,西太副高偏强、偏西,上述2个地区高低层辐合辐散形势、水汽条件及垂直运动与急流偏西年相反,因此降水异常也呈反位相分布。急流的东西位置与夏季热带中东太平洋海温关系密切。热带中东太平洋海温负(正)异常可以直接冷却(加热)大气,导致该处的对流活动减弱(增强),作用于Walker环流使得热带西太平洋地区出现异常的上升(下沉)运动,再经由经圈环流影响东亚中纬度地区,30°N附近对流活动减弱(增强),通过改变非绝热加热减小(增大)原气候态急流区东部的南北温度梯度,对流层西风减弱(增强),有利于急流偏西(东)。

     

    Abstract: This study employs ERA5 reanalysis data, station precipitation data from the China Meteorological Administration, NOAA monthly average SST (sea surface temperature), and outgoing longwave radiation flux data from 1980 to 2020 to analyze the impact of zonal position of EASJ (East Asian subtropical jet) on summer precipitation in China, as well as its response to SST in the tropical central-eastern Pacific. The results indicate that in westward-shift years of the EASJ, upper-level convergence and lower-level divergence play an important role in YRV (Yangtze River valley). The eastward displacement and weakening of WPSH (western Pacific subtropical high) at 500 hPa suppress moisture transport to the YRV, leading to reduced precipitation. Meanwhile, upper-level divergence over the Hetao area promotes rising motion, accompanied by lower-level moisture convergence, increasing precipitation in the Hetao area. Meanwhile, in eastward-shift years of the EASJ, the WPSH strengthens and shifts westward. The convergence and divergence patterns in the upper and lower troposphere, along with moisture conditions and vertical motion in these two regions, exhibit reversed characteristics compared with those in westward-shift years of the EASJ. As a result, the precipitation anomalies of eastward-shift years of the EASJ display an opposite phase distribution compared with in westward-shift years of the EASJ. The EASJ’s zonal position is closely related to the summer SST in the tropical central-eastern Pacific. In this region, negative (positive) SST anomalies directly cool (warm) the atmosphere, suppressing (enhancing) local convective activity. These alterations modulate Walker circulation and lead to anomalous ascending (descending) motion in the tropical western Pacific. The vertical motion anomalies further affect East Asia’s mid-latitude region through meridional circulation, reducing (intensifying) convective activity near 30°N. Consequently, the meridional temperature gradient in the eastern part of the climatological jet region decreases (increases) due to diabatic heating, weakening (strengthening) the tropospheric westerlies and resulting in an anomalous westward (eastward) EASJ.

     

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