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青藏高原7月地面感热准2年振荡及其形成机理

Quasi-2-Year Cycle of July Surface Sensible Heat over the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau and Its Formation Mechanism

  • 摘要: 利用基于最大熵增模型的青藏高原地面感热资料、再分析资料、气象台站观测资料,采用多锥度—奇异值分解方法,研究了青藏高原7月地面感热准2a周期特征。结果表明:1980~2018年青藏高原7月地面感热存在显著的准2a周期,表现为东西反向异常的交替循环。作为青藏高原地面感热的直接影响因子,地面风和地气温差在准2a周期循环中均对感热为正贡献,其中地气温差的贡献更大。大气环流和海温的协同分析表明,在青藏高原7月地面感热准2a周期典型循环下,第一年春末夏初赤道中东太平洋La Niña位相逐渐发展增强,7月西太平洋副热带高压偏北偏西,东亚副热带西风急流偏北,青藏高原中东部(西部)低层异常辐散(辐合)、高层异常辐合(辐散),出现异常下沉(上升)运动。这种环流形式对青藏高原东部(西部)云的生成不利(有利),而云量的减少(增加)使地面获得更多(少)的太阳辐射,从而引起地气温差的增加(减小),最终导致青藏高原东部(西部)地面感热增大(减小)。综上所述,在青藏高原7月感热准2a周期循环下,第一年La Niña增强、西太平洋副热带高压偏北偏西、东亚副热带西风急流偏北,青藏高原地面感热东强西弱,第二年大气环流和海温异常情况与第一年相反,青藏高原地面感热转变为东弱西强。

     

    Abstract: Using surface sensible heat data over the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau based on the maximum entropy production principle, along with National Centers for Environmental Prediction / National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) reanalysis data and meteorological station observations, the quasi-2-year cycle characteristics of July surface sensible heat over the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau were investigated using the multitaper method combined with singular value decomposition. Results show a significant quasi-2-year cycle of July surface sensible heat on the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau from 1980 to 2018, manifested in alternating eastern and western reverse anomalies. As direct influencing factors on sensible heat, surface winds and ground–air temperature differences contribute positively to this cycle, with the latter having a larger contribution. Synergistic analysis of atmospheric circulation and sea surface temperature (SST) reveals that under a typical quasi-2-year cycle of July surface sensible heat over the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau, the La Niña phase appeared in the east-central equatorial Pacific Ocean in late spring/early summer of the first year and gradually developed and strengthened. Then, in July, the subtropical high pressure deviated northward and westward, and the subtropical westerly rapids deviated northward, which resulted in anomalous low-level divergence (convergence) and anomalous high-level convergence (divergence) as well as anomalous sinking (ascending) motions over the east-central (western) Qinghai–Xizang Plateau. This form of circulation is unfavorable (favorable) for cloud generation in the eastern (western) part of the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau. Reduced cloud cover in the eastern (western) part of the plateau makes the ground receive more (less) solar radiation, which causes an increase (decrease) in the ground–air temperature difference and ultimately leads to a greater (smaller) sensible heat. In summary, under a quasi-2-year cycle of July sensible heat over the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau, in the first year, La Niña strengthens, the subtropical high pressure over the western Pacific Ocean shifts northward and westward, and the subtropical westerly rapids in East Asia shift northward; consequently, surface sensible heat over the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau is strong in the east and weak in the west. The anomalies of atmospheric circulation and SST in the second year are opposite to those in the first year, resulting in surface sensible heat over the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau being weak in the east and strong in the west.

     

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