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2022年6月山东一次暖区特大暴雨特征及形成机制研究

Characteristics and Formation mechanismof an extreme Warm-Sector Rain Event during June 2022 in Shandong Province

  • 摘要: 本文利用地面加密自动观测站、S波段多普勒天气雷达、L波段风廓线雷达等多种观测资料和ERA-5再分析资料分析了2022年6月26日山东一次暖区特大暴雨过程的降水特征和形成机制。结果表明:(1)本次过程发生在低空急流明显增强、副热带高压西伸北抬、无明显冷空气强迫的不稳定暖气团背景下,斜压性弱,有充沛的水汽输送。(2)暴雨对流系统的发展演变可分为2个阶段:局地对流快速增长阶段(26日白天)和带状对流后向传播发展阶段(26日夜间)。降水开始前,2000米以下的低层西南风逐渐增强并达到急流强度,与第一阶段降水开始时刻有较好的对应关系。26日20时后,急流强度较前期明显增强,同时急流层次也明显加深。急流出口区的降压作用配合低层气旋式切变以及差动涡度平流、暖平流和非绝热加热,促进了上升运动发展,从而加强了对流和降水强度。西南低空急流发展加强且长时间维持,强的暖湿输送使对流不稳定层结得以反复重建,为对流持续和加强提供了有利条件。(3)地面辐合线的维持是对流触发的关键因素,尤其在第二阶段中,地面辐合线、低空急流轴走向和带状对流系统移动方向近乎平行是导致对流后向传播,形成列车效应的重要原因。(4)基于配料法的对流传播指数(IPI)大值区与两个阶段对流发展传播趋势的对应关系较好,可以有效指示对流发展的潜势。

     

    Abstract: Using multiple observations from regional automatic weather stations, S-band Doppler weather radar, L-band wind profile radar, and ERA-5 reanalysis data, the characteristics and formation mechanism of a warm-sector heavy rain event during June 2022 in Shandong province are analyzed. The results obtained are as follows. (1) The event occurred against the background of an unstable warm air mass with a substantial enhancement of low-level jets, the westward and northward movement of the Subtropical High and no obvious cold air forcing, with weak baroclinicity and abundant water vapor transport. (2) Development and evolution of the rainstorm convective system can be divided into two stages: the first corresponds to the rapid growth of local convections (daytime of June 26) and the second presents back-building of band-like convections (the night of June 26). Prior to the precipitation, the southwesterly wind under 2000 m gradually strengthened, forming a low-level jet showing good correspondence with the beginning of the first stage of precipitation. After 2000, June 26, the jet stream was significantly strengthened, and its level significantly deepened. A combination of depressions in the outflow area of the jet stream, cyclonic wind shear in the lower level, differential vorticity advection, warm advection, and diabatic heating was conducive to the development of the upwelling movement. A convection instability stratification with high temperature, high humidity and high energy was reconstructed repeatedly due to the warm and wet transport of the low-level jet, which is an important reason for the development and strengthening of the convection. (3) Surface convergence line is the key factor responsible for convective triggering and the gradual organization of a band-like convective system. In particular, during the second stage, the similar direction of the ground convergence line, the low-level jet stream axis, and the movement direction of the radar echo provided favorable conditions for the backward propagation of convection, causing the train effect. (4) Large value area of the ingredient-based propagation index (IPI) shows good correspondence with the propagation of convective generation during two stages, which can effectively indicate the potential of convective development.

     

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