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北京“5.30”大风灾损与强风成因研究

Wind Damage and Causes of Extreme Winds caused by

  • 摘要: 2024年5月30日13时—16时,对流风暴下山加强引发了北京城区12级致灾性强风,导致电线杆、胸径为1 m以上大树倒伏,灾损严重。本研究结合灾情调查和偏振多普勒天气雷达探测资料,对灾损特点和强风形成物理过程开展研究。结果表明:致灾大风为偏西辐散型大风,极端强风由微下击暴流和百米以下尺度下击暴流条迹造成,灾损强度至少为EF1级,局地达EF2级。观测分析表明,风暴下山前1-2 h,增强的低层西南风及沿山地区辐合线的维持,有利于水汽在北京西部沿山地区聚集,地基全球定位系统(Global Positioning System,简称GPS)监测到水汽含量增加。对流风暴下山本质上是阵风锋与沿山辐合线相遇的强抬升触发新的对流风暴并快速发展,风暴下山后在18 min内迅速增强为回波强度超过55 dBZ的飑线。强风物理过程分析表明,北安河等地致灾强风由冷池驱动的阵风锋内嵌下击暴流造成;而圆明园附近极端强风在此基础上还叠加了低层γ中尺度涡旋,其移动路径与灾损严重区十分吻合,表明低层γ中尺度涡旋对局地性强风形成有直接影响。大兴雷达于14时30分探测圆明园退速度模糊后的径向速度达53 m/s(距地高度0.38 km),并出现类似龙卷的残片特征,只是回波强度较弱。不同物理过程作用估计表明,冷池出流强度约20 m/s,低层γ中尺度涡旋与下击暴流产生的近地面风速各约15-18 m/s。

     

    Abstract: From 13:00 to 16:00 on May 30, 2024, downslope-enhanced convective storms triggered destructive winds reaching 12 Beaufort scale in Beijing urban area, causing severe damage including toppled utility poles and large trees with diameter at breast height (DBH) exceeding 1 meter. This study combines damage surveys with polarimetric Doppler weather radar observations to investigate the disaster characteristics and physical processes of the severe winds. The results show that the damaging winds exhibited westward-divergent patterns, with extreme winds generated by microbursts and sub-100-meter-scale downburst tracks, reaching at least EF1 intensity and locally EF2 level. Observational analysis reveals that 1-2 hours before the storms moved downslope, enhanced low-level southwesterly winds and sustained convergence zones along the mountainous areas facilitated moisture accumulation in Beijing"s western foothills, with Global Positioning System observed Precipitable Water Vapor increases. The downslope movement of the storms essentially resulted from gust fronts interacting with mountain-foot convergence zones, triggering new convective storms that rapidly developed into a squall line with reflectivity exceeding 55 dBZ within 18 minutes. Physical process analysis indicates that the damaging winds in areas like Bei"anhe were caused by downbursts embedded within cold pool-driven gust fronts. The extreme winds near Yuanmingyuan additionally involved a low-level γ-mesoscale vortex, whose path closely matched the severely damaged areas, demonstrating the vortex"s direct impact on localized wind intensification. At 14:30, radar detected radial velocities reaching 53 m/s (at an altitude of 0.38 km) after velocity de?aliasing, along with features resembling tornadic debris, albeit with relatively weak echo intensity. Quantitative estimation of different physical processes suggests cold pool outflow contributed approximately 20 m/s, while the low-level γ-mesoscale vortex and downbursts each enhanced near?surface winds by 15-18 m/s.

     

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