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大气低频振荡对中国东部夏季极端高温事件影响机制区域差异对比

Regional Differences in the Mechanisms Linking Low-Frequency Atmospheric Oscillations to Summer Extreme Heat Events in Eastern China

  • 摘要: 利用1981~2023年国家气象信息中心提供的2474站逐日气温和ERA5逐日再分析资料,对比研究了中国东部四个区域的区域极端高温事件(Regional extreme heat events,REHEs)低频特征及动力热力成因差异。结果表明:各子区域夏季日最高温度均具有10~30天显著周期。REHEs发展过程中,四区均受欧亚大陆自西北(或西)向东南(或东)传播的Rossby波列影响,华南区(其他三区)还受低纬西太平洋(东亚太平洋,EAP)遥相关型波列西传(西南传)的影响。伴随着来自中高纬大西洋东岸、中纬度北美大陆东部、中纬度大西洋西岸、中低纬大西洋低频Rossby波能量分别向华南区、长江区、华北区、东北区的频散,形成了影响各区REHEs的关键低频环流系统——低频大陆高压,该系统在北边三区尤其东北区更深厚,华南区则较浅薄,且其中低层还受沿海低频气旋性环流的影响。南亚高压东伸北扩对除东北外的其他三区尤其是华南区影响明显,西太平洋副热带高压(简称西太副高)西伸北抬对四区尤其长江区影响明显。伴随着高层辐合低层辐散形成强烈下沉运动(尤其华南区),大气绝热增温,加之大气偏干,晴空少云,地面接收更多太阳短波辐射,加剧高温发展。热力学诊断表明,温度平流项在除华南外的其他三区均贡献较大,且对北方区贡献大于南方区;垂直输送项和非绝热加热项分别在四区尤其是华南区升温中后期和前中期贡献显著。

     

    Abstract: Using daily temperature observations from 2474 stations provided by the National Meteorological Information Center and ERA5 daily reanalysis data for 1981–2023, this study compares the low-frequency (LF) characteristics and dynamic and thermodynamic mechanisms of regional extreme heat events (REHEs) across four subregions of eastern China. The results indicate that summer daily maximum temperatures in all four subregions exhibit substantial 10–30-day oscillations. The evolution of REHEs in all regions is influenced by Rossby wave trains propagating from the northwest (or west) toward the southeast (or east) across Eurasia. Additionally, South China is affected by westward-propagating teleconnection wave trains over the low-latitude western Pacific, whereas the other three regions are influenced by southwestward-propagating East Asia–Pacific (EAP) teleconnection patterns. Accompanied by the dispersion of LF Rossby wave energy from the eastern Atlantic in the mid-to-high latitudes, the eastern part of the mid-latitude North America, the western Atlantic in the mid-latitudes, and the mid-to-low latitude Atlantic toward South China, the Yangtze River Basin, North China, and Northeast China, respectively, key LF circulation systems (i.e., the LF continental highs) that govern REHEs in each region have formed. These systems are deeper over the three northern regions, especially Northeast China, but relatively shallow over South China, where the lower troposphere is shaped by coastal LF cyclonic circulation. The eastward and northward extension of the South Asian High notably affects the other three regions, especially South China, but has a weaker influence on Northeast China. The westward and northward expansion of the Western Pacific Subtropical High strongly influences all four regions, particularly the Yangtze River Basin. Enhanced upper-level convergence and lower-level divergence induce strong subsidence, particularly over South China, resulting in pronounced adiabatic warming. This adiabatic warming, combined with a drier atmosphere, reduced cloud cover, and increased incoming solar radiation, further exacerbates surface heating. Thermodynamic diagnostics indicate that horizontal temperature advection contributes substantially to warming in all regions except South China, with stronger effects in the northern regions. Vertical transport and diabatic heating play important roles during the mid-to-late and early-to-mid stages of REHE development, respectively, especially in South China.

     

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