2023年春季副热带东北大西洋破纪录的海洋热浪变化特征及成因
Characteristics and Causes of the Record-Breaking Marine Heatwaves in subtropical Northeastern Atlantic in 2023 Spring
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摘要: 海洋热浪(MHWs)是海洋中的极端高温事件,对海洋环境和生态系统具有严重影响。2023年春季,北大西洋经历了一次破纪录的海洋热浪事件。本文利用美国国家海洋和大气管理局(National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,NOAA)OISST V2数据集提供的每日海表温度数据,以及欧洲中期天气预报中心(European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts,ECMWF)的ERA5大气再分析数据和美国国家环境预测中心(National Centers for Environmental Prediction,NCEP)的海洋再分析数据,对此次海洋热浪事件的时空分布特征及其成因进行了研究。结果表明,2023年春季,北大西洋海表温度出现前所未有的上升,尤其是副热带东北大西洋(subtropical Northeastern Atlantic,SNA)区域。通过对海洋混合层热量收支的诊断分析发现,在整个海洋热浪事件期间,净热通量项在各阶段均对海气能量交换起着主导作用。SNA区域发生超90天海洋热浪,呈现两次具有清晰起始、峰值与衰退阶段的显著事件,其强度和范围变化受风-蒸发-海表温度正反馈机制调控:起始阶段,异常低压系统致海表面风速、海水蒸发率及海表潜热通量降低,出现向下净热通量异常;峰值阶段,受高压异常系统控制,风速进一步减小,蒸发受抑,海表温度持续攀升,加剧热浪强度;衰退阶段,海表风速增大、蒸发增强,海表温度下降,海洋热浪事件终结。此外,太平洋 Rossby 波传播显著影响海洋热浪的发展进程,热浪衰减阶段的北大西洋异常暖海温会激发横跨欧亚大陆的遥相关波列,导致我国东部出现低温现象。Abstract: Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are extreme high temperature events in oceans that have significant impacts on marine environments and ecosystems. Utilizing daily sea surface temperature (SST) data from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration"s OISST V2 dataset, along with ERA5 atmospheric reanalysis data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and ocean reanalysis data from National Centers for Environmental Prediction, this study analyzed the spatial and temporal features of the record-breaking MHW events in the subtropical Northeastern Atlantic in the spring of 2023. The results indicate that the North Atlantic experienced an unprecedented rise in SST during spring 2023, particularly in the subtropical Northeastern Atlantic (SNA) region, which emerged as a hotspot. The calculation results of the mixed-layer heat budget in the upper ocean layer show that during the entire ocean heatwave event, the net heat flux term plays a dominant role in the energy exchange between the sea and the atmosphere at each stage. The SNA region has endured over 90 days of Marine heatwave conditions, presenting two significant events with clear initiation, peak and decline phases. Their intensity and range changes are regulated by the positive feedback mechanism of wind-evaporation-sea surface temperature: In the initial stage, the abnormal low-pressure system leads to a decrease in sea surface wind speed, seawater evaporation rate and latent heat flux on the sea surface, resulting in an abnormal downward net heat flux. During the peak stage, under the control of the abnormal high-pressure system, with further decreasing wind speed and suppressed evaporation, the SST continues to rise, intensifying the MHW. During the recession stage, increased sea surface wind speeds intensify evaporation, consequently lowering sea surface temperatures and culminating in event termination. In addition, formation and maintenance of these MHW events are closely related to an eastward-propagating Rossby wave from the Pacific Ocean. During the attenuation stage of heatwaves, abnormally warm SST can trigger an eastward-propagating Rossby wave across Eurasia, thereby causing low temperatures in eastern China.
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