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2023年春季副热带东北大西洋破纪录的海洋热浪变化特征及成因

Characteristics and Drivers of the Record-Breaking Spring 2023 Marine Heatwaves in the Subtropical Northeastern Atlantic

  • 摘要: 海洋热浪(MHWs)是海洋中的极端高温事件,对海洋环境和生态系统具有严重影响。2023年春季,北大西洋经历了一次破纪录的海洋热浪事件。本文利用美国国家海洋和大气管理局(NOAA)OISST V2数据集提供的每日海表温度数据,以及欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECMWF)的ERA5大气再分析数据和美国国家环境预测中心(NCEP)的海洋再分析数据,对此次海洋热浪事件的时空分布特征及其成因进行了研究。结果表明,2023年春季,北大西洋海表温度出现前所未有的上升,尤其是副热带东北大西洋(SNA)区域。通过对海洋混合层热量收支的诊断分析发现,在整个海洋热浪事件期间,净热通量项在各阶段均对海气能量交换起着主导作用。SNA区域发生超90天海洋热浪,呈现两次具有清晰起始、峰值与衰退阶段的显著事件,其强度和范围变化受风—蒸发—海表温度正反馈机制调控:起始阶段,异常低压系统致海表风速、海水蒸发率及海表潜热通量降低,出现向下净热通量异常;峰值阶段,受高压异常系统控制,风速进一步减小,蒸发受抑,海表温度持续攀升,加剧热浪强度;衰退阶段,海表风速增大、蒸发增强,海表温度下降,海洋热浪事件终结。此外,太平洋罗斯贝波传播显著影响海洋热浪的发展进程,热浪衰减阶段的北大西洋异常暖海表温度会激发横跨欧亚大陆的遥相关波列,导致我国东部出现低温现象。

     

    Abstract: MHWs (Marine heatwaves) are extreme high-temperature events in the ocean that can have substantial impacts on marine environments and ecosystems. This study utilized daily SST (sea surface temperature) data from NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s) OISST V2 dataset, atmospheric reanalysis data from ERA5 provided by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, and ocean reanalysis data from NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction). Using these datasets, this study analyzed the spatiotemporal characteristics of the record-breaking MHW events in the subtropical northeastern Atlantic (SNA) during spring 2023. The results indicate that the North Atlantic experienced an unprecedented rise in SST during spring 2023, with the SNA emerging as a prominent hotspot. Diagnostic analysis of the upper-ocean mixed-layer heat budget reveals that, throughout the MHW events, net surface heat flux played a dominant role in sea–atmosphere energy exchange at each stage. The SNA endured over 90 days of MHW conditions, presenting two major events with distinct initiation, peak, and decline phases. Variations in their intensity and spatial extent were regulated by a positive wind–evaporation–SST feedback mechanism. During the initiation phase, an anomalous low-pressure system reduced surface wind speed, seawater evaporation, and latent heat loss, resulting in an anomalous downward net heat flux and ocean warming. During the peak phase, under the influence of an anomalous high-pressure system, further reductions in wind speed and suppressed evaporation promoted continued SST increases and intensified the MHWs. During the decline phase, strengthened surface winds enhanced evaporation, consequently decreasing SST and ultimately terminating the events. In addition, the formation and maintenance of these MHW events were closely related to an eastward-propagating Rossby wave originating over the Pacific Ocean. During the decline phase of the MHWs, anomalously warm SSTs triggered an eastward-propagating Rossby wave across Eurasia, causing anomalously low temperatures in eastern China.

     

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