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惯性震荡与地形作用下四川盆地西部一次大暴雨天气分析

Analysis of a Heavy rainfall Event over Western Sichuan Basin under the Influence of Inertial Oscillation and Topography

  • 摘要: 利用地面加密自动站资料、ERA5再分析资料和雷达组合反射率数据,从惯性振荡对风场的影响、地形与气流相互作用、地形对降雨的增幅作用等方面,对2023年7月11日四川盆地西部大暴雨天气的成因进行分析,并提炼出此次暴雨过程的物理概念模型。分析发现:此次降水过程具有主要暴雨区沿山呈线性分布,夜雨特征明显和对流性强等特点。大暴雨发生前南亚高压控制四川,盆地受西太平洋副热带高压外围偏南气流影响,没有明显的天气系统影响。定量分析发现:大气平流和垂直输送弱,科氏力和地转偏差项变化大,惯性振荡主导了四川盆地中东部和云贵高原东部风速增长,并导致夜间边界层急流,非地转风顺时针旋转,其中夜间东南向非地转风有利于盆地东南风的增强。云贵高原东部急流输送与盆地中东部风速增长叠加,致使盆地辐合增大,散度项与垂直输送项的共同作用促进了气旋性风场发展。在气旋性风场北部气流及非地转风的共同作用下,盆地西北部长时间维持东南风。东南风将暖湿气流向西输送,盆地西部山前出现明显风场和水汽辐合,中高层干空气入侵与低空暖湿气流的配置导致盆地西部山前对流不稳定增强。东南风与盆地西部山脉垂直相交,形成了较强爬流,迎风坡地形抬升及次级垂直环流圈的形成触发了山前对流。随着夜间东南风增大,山前辐合增强,对流逐渐发展。东南风稳定维持,地形屏障及气旋性风场的发展使盆地西部和北部边缘分别出现偏北风和东风,与偏东风或东南风交汇生成切变线,切变线促进对流组织化发展。盆地向山脉过渡区山势陡峭,且盆地西部东北—西南走向的山脉与东南风垂直相交,有利于迎风坡出现强上升运动。基于多源观测资料同化系统和WRF模式开展敏感性试验,将地形坡度减半后,降水强度减小一个量级,表明陡峭地形对降雨有增幅作用。在低层切变线与陡峭地形强迫的共同作用下,准线性强对流系统沿山发展,使盆地西部山前形成线状强降水区。东南风长时间维持,受特殊地形影响,气流与地形相互作用形成持久高效的降水,从而导致了极端强降水。

     

    Abstract: Using the surface dense automatic precipitation observations, ERA5 reanalysis data and radar composite reflectivity data,this study analyzes the causes of a heavy rainstorm event over the western Sichuan Basin on July 11, 2023, focusing on the impact of inertial oscillation on wind fields and the effect of terrain-airflow interactions on rainfall. A physical conceptual model of this rainstorm event is also developed. The results show that this precipitation event exhibited three prominent characteristics: a linear distribution of heavy rainfall along mountainous terrain, pronounced nocturnal development, and strong convective activity. Prior to the heavy rainstorm, the Sichuan region was under the control of the South Asian High, while the basin was influenced by southerly airflow on the periphery of the Western Pacific Subtropical High, with no significant weather systems affecting the area. Quantitative analysis revealed that the Coriolis force and geostrophic deviation terms show large variations. while the atmospheric advection and vertical transport were weak, inertial oscillation dominated the wind speed increase in the central-eastern Sichuan Basin and eastern Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau. This process led to nocturnal boundary layer jets and clockwise rotation of the ageostrophic wind. The development of southeastward ageostrophic winds at night enhanced the southeasterly flow over the basin. The superposition of jet transport from the eastern Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau and the wind speed growth in the central-eastern basin enhanced wind convergence in the basin. The combined effects of the divergence term and vertical transport term promoted the development of cyclonic wind fields. Under the combined influence of airflow in the northern sector of the cyclonic wind field and ageostrophic winds, southeasterly winds persisted over the northwestern basin, playing a crucial role in the formation of nocturnal rainfall. The southeasterly winds transported warm and moist air westward, leading to significant wind and moisture convergence along the mountains of western basin. The intrusion of dry air at mid-to-upper levels combined with low-level warm and moist airflow enhanced convective instability, creating a favorable condition for heavy rainfall. The perpendicular intersection of southeasterly winds with the mountains of western basin produced strong upslope flow. Orographic lifting on windward slopes and the formation of secondary vertical circulations triggered convection ahead of the mountains. As nocturnal southeasterlies intensified, convergence ahead of the mountains strengthened, convection continued to develop. The persistent southeasterlies, combined with topographic blocking and cyclonic wind field development, generated northerly winds along the western basin margin and easterly winds along the northern edge. Their convergence with easterly/southeasterly flows formed wind shear lines that promoted convective organization. The steep terrain transition from the basin to the mountains and perpendicular intersecting of the southeasterlies with the northeast-southwest oriented mountains in the western basin , favored strong upward motion on windward slopes. Sensitivity experiments conducted using a multi-source observation data assimilation system and the WRF model demonstrated that when terrain slopes were reduced by half, precipitation intensity decreased by one order of magnitude. This clearly indicates the enhancement effect of steep topography on rainfall. Under the combined forcing of low-level shear lines and steep terrain, a quasi-linear intense convective system developed along the mountains, forming a linear heavy precipitation zone along the western basin"s foothills. With the interaction of persistent southeasterly flow and the unique topography, efficient precipitation persisted for a long time, ultimately causing the extreme rainfall event.

     

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