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台风“格美”影响湖南的不同阶段极端暴雨成因分析

A Comparative Analysis on the Causes of Different Stages of Extreme Rainstorm in Hunan of China Caused by Typhoon Gaemi

  • 摘要: 利用观测资料、ERA5及GDAS再分析数据,对2403号台风“格美”造成湖南不同阶段极端暴雨形成原因进行对比分析。结果表明:这一过程发生在台风北上遭遇高压坝阻挡,西行南落进入湖南的环流背景下,台风环流东部持续的水汽输送,促使残涡结构长时间保持完整,导致此次强降雨覆盖范围广,多地累积雨量刷新历史纪录。第一阶段暴雨落区位于台风“格美”第三象限台风槽附近,第二阶段位于残涡本体南侧。两个阶段促进降雨加强的主要动力、热力及水汽条件均存在明显差异,第一阶段在台风槽的动力作用下,槽北部偏北急流与南岭山脉走向垂直,显著增强了迎风坡上升运动,大气对流不稳定度加大,直接导致湖南南部资兴极端暴雨;第二阶段“格美”停编后,受残涡切变影响湖南西部降水发展,局地锋生作用和边界层偏南急流进一步促进倾斜上升运动增强,触发条件对称不稳定能量释放,最终形成溆浦极端短时强降水。此次过程中边界层急流对强降水发展起到关键作用。残涡加强,残涡与副高之间位势梯度增大,促使斜压位能向动能转换,降水区动能获得增长,而动能增长又促进急流增强,导致降水增大。两个阶段水汽均主要来源于低空急流和边界层急流,通过垂直上升运动由低层输送至中高层,其中第二阶段更强的大气斜压性促使水汽垂直输送高度更高,也激发了更深厚、更强烈的上升运动。不同阶段阶段水汽输送和收支特征存在差异,第一阶段水汽自低纬太平洋洋面。经福建登陆后沿台风外围云系自北向南输送至暴雨区,水汽从北、西流入,第二阶段水汽自低纬印度洋洋面向北经华南地区登陆输送至暴雨区,水汽以南、西为流入边界,与低空急流和边界层急流输送方向一致。

     

    Abstract: Based on observations, ERA5 reanalysis data and the data from the Global Data Assimilation System, this study conducts a comparative analysis on the causes of two distinct stages of extreme rainstorm in Hunan Province, China caused by Typhoon Gaemi (No. 2403). The results show that this event occurred under the background of Typhoon Gaemi remnant. The northward-moving residual vortex of Typhoon Gaemi was blocked by a high-pressure dam, and veered westward and southward into Hunan. The continuous water vapor transport on the eastern side of the typhoon circulation contributed to the prolonged maintenance of the residual vortex, thereby resulting in a wide coverage of heavy rainfall and record-breaking accumulated precipitation in many regions.During the first stage, the rainstorm area was concentrated near the typhoon trough within the third quadrant of Typhoon Gaemi, while in the second stage it was centered near the core of the residual vortex. The rainstorms in the two stages exhibited distinct differences in the primary dynamic, thermodynamic and moisture conditions. Specifically, in the first stage, the dominant factors were the typhoon trough, a boundary layer northerly jet is orthogonal to the Nanling Mountains, which significantly enhances the updraft of the windward slope and increases the instability of the atmospheric convection, which directly leads to the extreme rainstorm in Zixing, southern Hunan. In the second stage, after the " Gemei " was stopped, the development of precipitation in western Hunan was affected by the residual vortex shear. The local frontogenesis and the southerly jet of the boundary layer further promoted the enhancement of the inclined ascending motion, and a large number of conditional symmetric unstable energy was released, which eventually formed the extreme short-term over Xupu in western Hunan during the second stage. In this process, the boundary layer jet plays a key role in the development of heavy precipitation. The residual vortex strengthens, and the potential gradient between the residual vortex and the subtropical high increases, which promotes the conversion of baroclinic potential energy to kinetic energy, and the kinetic energy of the precipitation area increases. The growth of kinetic energy promotes the enhancement of the jet stream, which leads to the increase of precipitation. The water vapor in both stages is mainly derived from the low-level jet stream and the boundary layer jet stream, moisture originated from the lower troposphere and was transported to the mid-to-upper levels via ascending motion. However, the vertical transport extended to higher altitudes during the second stage, suggesting a stronger influence of baroclinicity on vertical moisture transport during that period. Furthermore, the characteristics of water vapor transport and budget differed substantially between the two stages. In the first stage, water vapor originating from low-latitude Pacific oceans was transported into the rainstorm area through Fujian, following a north-to-south path along the outer cloud systems of the typhoon. Net moisture influx occurred along the northern and western boundaries. In the second stage, the water vapor transported into the rainstorm area through Indian oceans to the north through South China and transported to the rainstorm area. The south and west of the water vapor were the inflow boundary, which was consistent with the direction of the low-level jet and the boundary layer jet.

     

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