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2022年1-2月汤加火山灰全球传输扩散特征研究

Simuation study of global transmission diffusion of volcanic ash from Tonga volcano eruption between January and February, 2022.

  • 摘要: 针对2022年1月汤加火山喷发事件,综合运用经验统计公式、分段粒子直径谱、伞状垂直质量分布等方案,形成更为合理的火山灰源项设计,在此基础上采用拉格朗日粒子扩散模式(FLEXPART),开展了较长时间尺度火山灰全球传输扩散特征研究。结果表明:(1)初步评估,1月13日和15日汤加火山两次喷发火山灰质量分别为3.36×10^11 kg、1.81×10^13 kg。(2)火山灰主要在0-30oS纬度带向西传输,传输速度约为24o/d,南北向传输较弱;传输高度约18-32km,最快传输高度主要位于25-27km,垂直方向风速差异是造成火山灰垂直方向倾斜传输态势的主要原因。(3)火山灰粒径与其在大气中存留时间强相关,直径大于62.5μm与7.8125μm-62.5μm的火山灰分别约在数小时、半个月时间(1月20日之前)即全部沉降至地面,沉降区域主要位于(175oE-170oW,5oS-50oS),最大值在1000μg m^-2以上;直径小于7.8125μm的火山灰将在大气中长时间停留,沉降过程缓慢。

     

    Abstract: Aiming at the Hunga Tonga–Hunga Ha"apai volcanic eruption in January 2022, a more reasonable design of volcanic ash source term was established by comprehensively adopting empirical statistical formulas, segmented particle size spectra, and umbrella-shaped vertical mass distribution models. On this basis, the Lagrangian particle dispersion model (FLEXPART) was employed to investigate the long-timescale global transport and diffusion characteristics of volcanic ash. The results show that: (1) According to preliminary estimation, the total volcanic ash masses of the two eruptions on 13 January and 15 January were 3.36×10^11 kg and 1.81×10^13 kg, respectively. (2) Volcanic ash predominantly transported westward within the latitudinal zone of 0–30oS at a speed of approximately 24o per day, with weak north-south dispersion. The transport altitude ranged from 18 to 32 km, and the fastest transport layer was concentrated at 25–27 km. Vertical wind speed differences were the primary factor leading to the inclined vertical transport of volcanic ash. (3) The particle size of volcanic ash presented a strong correlation with its atmospheric residence time. Volcanic ash particles with diameters greater than 62.5 μm and those ranging from 7.8125 μm to 62.5 μm completely deposited to the ground within several hours and half a month (before 20 January), respectively. The major deposition region was located at (175oE–170oW, 5oS–50oS), with the maximum surface deposition flux exceeding 1000 μg m^-2. Fine volcanic ash with diameters smaller than 7.8125 μm remained suspended in the atmosphere for an extended period with slow deposition progress.

     

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