我国南方两次极端湿冷天气的多尺度能量转换特征及其对水汽输送的作用差异
Multiscale Energy Conversion Characteristics of Two Extreme Wet-Cold Events in South China and Their Differential Impacts on Water Vapor Transport
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摘要: 基于ERA5再分析资料,通过多尺度子空间变换和局地多尺度能量分析,研究了2008年1月至2月初和2016年1月我国南方两次极端湿冷天气过程的多尺度能量转换机制及其对持续性水汽输送的作用差异。结果表明,2008年1月25日-2月2日,水汽输送以低频尺度(8–64d)为主导,能量方程各项收支相互抵消,使低频环流系统持续维持,中低纬度的南支槽和西太副高异常持续偏强,建立起自印度洋和西太平洋至我国南方的准定常水汽通道,低频尺度水汽辐合区与降水区高度重合,导致持续性降水。2016年1月20-22日,水汽输送受低频尺度与天气尺度(<8d)协同调控,低纬度地区南支槽东侧的低频水汽辐合区内,经向风与温度正扰动同步最大化,与背景尺度经向温度梯度配合引发斜压不稳定,背景尺度向低频尺度传输有效位能,并在浮力转换和气压梯度力做功作用下增强低频动能,加强槽前西南水汽向我国南方输送,提供了有利的低频背景;同时,中纬度天气尺度扰动在斜压不稳定和浮力转换作用下加强,天气尺度高压向东南移动至东部沿海后滞留缓动,将西太平洋水汽和低频尺度输送至我国西南地区的印度洋水汽向华南地区辐合,两个尺度的协同作用形成了持续的水汽供应。可见,我国南方极端湿冷事件中的持续性水汽输送,不仅可以被低频尺度环流主导,天气尺度扰动在有利的背景下也能起关键作用。Abstract: Based on ERA5 reanalysis data, the multiscale window transform and the localized multiscale energy analysis are employed to investigate the multiscale energy conversion mechanisms and their differential impacts on persistent water vapor transport during two extreme wet-cold events in southern China, one spanning January to early February 2008 and the other occurring in January 2016. The results show that, from 25 January to 2 February 2008, water vapor transport was dominated by the low-frequency-scale (8–64 days). The various terms in the energy budget largely canceled each other out, so the low-frequency-scale circulation system was persistently maintained. The southern branch trough and the western Pacific subtropical high remained persistently anomalously strong over the mid- to low latitudes, so that a quasi-stationary water vapor transport corridor was established from the Indian Ocean and the western Pacific to southern China. The low-frequency-scale moisture convergence zone closely overlapped with the precipitation area, leading to persistent rainfall. During 20–22 January 2016, water vapor transport was jointly regulated by the low-frequency-scale and synoptic-scale (<8 days) processes. Within the low-frequency-scale moisture convergence zone east of the southern branch trough at low latitudes, the meridional wind and positive temperature perturbations were simultaneously maximized. Their alignment with the background meridional temperature gradient triggered baroclinic instability. Available potential energy was transferred from the background-scale to the low-frequency-scale, and the low-frequency-scale kinetic energy was subsequently enhanced through buoyancy conversion and work done by the pressure gradient force. This intensification strengthened the southwesterly water vapor transport ahead of the trough into southern China and provided a favorable low-frequency-scale background. Meanwhile, synoptic?scale disturbances at mid?latitudes were intensified by baroclinic instability and buoyancy conversion. The synoptic-scale high-pressure anomaly moved southeastward to the eastern coast and then stalled. Through this process, water vapor from the western Pacific, together with the Indian Ocean moisture that had been transported to southwestern China by the low-frequency-scale flow, was converged into South China. A sustained water vapor supply was achieved by the synergistic interaction of the two scales. Thus, persistent water vapor transport in extreme wet-cold events over southern China can be dominated not only by the low-frequency-scale circulation, but synoptic-scale disturbances can also play a key role under favorable background conditions.
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