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基于多模态深度特征融合的FY-4B卫星云底高度反演方法研究

Cloud Base Height Retrieval for FY-4B Satellite: A Deep Multimodal Feature Fusion Approach

  • 摘要: 云底高度(Cloud Base Height, CBH)作为表征云垂直结构的关键参量,在降水预报、人工影响天气作业条件识别及航空安全保障等领域具有重要应用价值。然而,现有观测手段在空间覆盖、时间分辨率与精度之间难以兼顾,大尺度、全天候、高精度 CBH 反演仍存在技术难点。为此,本文提出一种基于深度学习的多模态特征融合反演云底高度方法 Deep-Cloud Base(DCB)。该方法以风云四号B星(FY-4B)先进的静止轨道辐射成像仪(AGRI)15个通道为核心,融合云检测、观测几何等多源信息,构建端到端的反演模型,并以地基毫米波测云仪反演的CBH作为真值进行监督训练。本模型利用2024年3月至2025年3月超150万组卫星-测云仪匹配数据进行训练和优化,在独立测试集上反演CBH的均方根误差(RMSE)与平均绝对误差(MAE)分别为1959.7m与1138.4m,皮尔逊相关系数达0.83。对反演结果的分场景评估表明,本方法在白天、中云及单层云场景下表现最佳,遇到复杂多层云结构的情况反演不确定性较大。基于DCB算法的全国范围、高时空分辨率的云底高度产品能为人工影响天气作业条件识别等场景提供关键支撑.

     

    Abstract: Cloud Base Height (CBH) is a key parameter for characterizing the vertical structure of clouds and holds significant application value in areas such as precipitation forecasting, identification of suitable conditions for weather modification operations, and aviation safety. However, existing observation methods face challenges in simultaneously achieving spatial coverage, temporal resolution, and accuracy, making large-scale, all-weather, and high-precision CBH retrieval technically difficult. To address this, this paper proposes a deep learning-based multi-modal feature fusion method for retrieving cloud base height, named Deep-Cloud Base (DCB). The method uses multi-channel observations from the Advanced Geosynchronous Radiance Imager (AGRI) aboard the FY-4B (Fengyun-4B) satellite as the core input, integrates multi-source information including cloud masks and observation geometry, and constructs an end-to-end retrieval model. The model is supervised and trained using CBH values derived from ground-based millimeter-wave cloud radars as ground truth. Trained and optimized on over 1.5 million satellite–cloud radar matched samples from March 2024 to March 2025, the model achieves a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 1959.7 m, a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 1138.4 m, with Pearson correlation coefficients of 0.83 on an independent test set. A scenario-based evaluation of the retrieval results shows that the method performs best under daytime conditions, for mid-level clouds, and in single-layer cloud scenarios, while exhibiting greater uncertainty in the presence of complex multi-layer cloud structures. The nationwide, high spatiotemporal resolution CBH product generated by the DCB algorithm can provide critical support for applications such as identifying weather modification operation conditions.

     

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