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Volume 9 Issue 2

Mar.  1992

Article Contents

Experiments in Forecasting Mesoscale Convective Weather over Changjiang Delta


doi: 10.1007/BF02657512

  • The real time operational severe convective weather forecast experiment carried out during May to July in 1990 over the Changjiang Delta is briefly described. The heavy rainfall and severe convective weather forecast worksheets for the Changjiang Delta have been proposed and used in the daily forecasting. Results show that the ability of 0-12h convective weather prediction has been improved significantly after the development of the forecast methods and the establishment of a mesoscale forecast base at Shanghai Meteorological Center during 1986 to 1990.Three cases of convective weather systems (meso-alpha, meso-beta, meso-gamma) during the experiment period are described and discussed.
  • [1] FENG Yerong, WANG Ying, PENG Taoyong, YAN Jinghua, 2007: An Algorithm on Convective Weather Potential in the Early Rainy Season over the Pearl River Delta in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 24, 101-110.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-007-0101-2
    [2] Jin Long, LuoYing, Lin Zhenshan, 1997: Comparison of Long-Term Forecasting of June-August Rainfall over Changjiang-Huaihe Valley, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 14, 87-92.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-997-0047-4
    [3] Wenbo XUE, Hui YU, Shengming TANG, Wei HUANG, 2024: Relationships between Terrain Features and Forecasting Errors of Surface Wind Speeds in a Mesoscale Numerical Weather Prediction Model, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-3087-5
    [4] Zhemin TAN, Qinghong ZHANG, Xudong LIANG, Kun ZHAO, Xin XU, Lili LEI, 2023: Preface to the Special Issue on the 14th International Conference on Mesoscale Convective Systems and High-Impact Weather, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 40, 745-746.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-2022-0
    [5] ZHU Guofu, CHEN Shoujun, 2003: A Numerical Case Study on a Mesoscale Convective System over the Qinghai-Xizang (Tibetan) Plateau, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 20, 385-397.  doi: 10.1007/BF02690797
    [6] Zhiwei HE, Qinghong ZHANG, Jun SUN, 2016: The Contribution of Mesoscale Convective Systems to Intense Hourly Precipitation Events during the Warm Seasons over Central East China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 33, 1233-1239.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-016-6034-x
    [7] ZHU Guofu, CHEN Shoujun, 2003: Analysis and Comparison of Mesoscale Convective Systems over the Qinghai-Xizang (Tibetan) Plateau, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 20, 311-322.  doi: 10.1007/BF02690789
    [8] Anjing HUANG, Gaopeng LU, Hongbo ZHANG, Feifan LIU, Yanfeng FAN, Baoyou ZHU, Jing YANG, Zhichao WANG, 2018: Locating Parent Lightning Strokes of Sprites Observed over a Mesoscale Convective System in Shandong Province, China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 35, 1396-1414.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-018-7306-4
    [9] LIU Dongxia, QIE Xiushu, XIONG Yajun, FENG Guili, 2011: Evolution of the Total Lightning Activity in a Leading-Line and Trailing Stratiform Mesoscale Convective System over Beijing, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 28, 866-878.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-010-0001-8
    [10] Xu Youping, Xia Daqing, Qian Yueying, 1998: The Water-Bearing Numerical Model and Its Operational Forecasting Experiments Part II: The Operational Forecasting Experiments, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 15, 321-336.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-998-0004-x
    [11] Xia Jianguo, 1991: How much Numerical Products Affect Weather Forecasting, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 8, 107-110.  doi: 10.1007/BF02657369
    [12] Ding Jincai, Dai Jianhua, Chen Yamin, Hu Fuquan, Tang Xinzhang, 1996: Helicity as a Method for Forecasting Severe Weather Events, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 13, 533-538.  doi: 10.1007/BF03342043
    [13] Jing YANG, Gaopeng LU, Ningyu LIU, Haihua CUI, Yu WANG, Morris COHEN, 2017: Analysis of a Mesoscale Convective System that Produced a Single Sprite, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 34, 258-271.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-016-6092-0
    [14] Jo-Han LEE, Dong-Kyou LEE, Hyun-Ha LEE, Yonghan CHOI, Hyung-Woo KIM, 2010: Radar Data Assimilation for the Simulation of Mesoscale Convective Systems, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 27, 1025-1042.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-010-9162-8
    [15] Jianhua LU, 2021: Chen-Chao Koo and the Early Numerical Weather Prediction Experiments in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 38, 707-716.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-021-0268-y
    [16] WANG Xuemei, CHEN Fei, WU Zhiyong, ZHANG Meigen, Mukul TEWARI, Alex GUENTHER, Christine WIEDINMYER, 2009: Impacts of Weather Conditions Modified by Urban Expansion on Surface Ozone: Comparison between the Pearl River Delta and Yangtze River Delta Regions, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 26, 962-972.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-8001-2
    [17] Lanqiang Bai, Dan Yao, Zhiyong Meng, Yu Zhang, Xianxiang Huang, Zhaoming Li, 2023: Influence of Irregular Coastlines on a Tornadic Mesovortex in the Pearl River Delta during Monsoon Season. Part II: Numerical Experiments, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-3096-4
    [18] Wang Shaowu, 1984: THE RHYTHM IN THE ATMOSPHERE AND OCEANS IN APPLICATION TO LONG-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTING, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 1, 7-29.  doi: 10.1007/BF03187612
    [19] Jorge A. REVELLI, Miguel A. RODR, Horacio S. WIO, 2010: The Use of Rank Histograms and MVL Diagrams to Characterize Ensemble Evolution in Weather Forecasting, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 27, 1425-1437.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-9153-6
    [20] Honghua Dai, 1996: Machine Learning of Weather Forecasting Rules from Large Meteorological Data Bases, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 13, 471-488.  doi: 10.1007/BF03342038

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Manuscript History

Manuscript received: 10 March 1992
Manuscript revised: 10 March 1992
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
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Experiments in Forecasting Mesoscale Convective Weather over Changjiang Delta

  • 1. Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210008,Shanghai Meteorological Center, Shanghai 200030,Shanghai Meteorological Center, Shanghai 200030

Abstract: The real time operational severe convective weather forecast experiment carried out during May to July in 1990 over the Changjiang Delta is briefly described. The heavy rainfall and severe convective weather forecast worksheets for the Changjiang Delta have been proposed and used in the daily forecasting. Results show that the ability of 0-12h convective weather prediction has been improved significantly after the development of the forecast methods and the establishment of a mesoscale forecast base at Shanghai Meteorological Center during 1986 to 1990.Three cases of convective weather systems (meso-alpha, meso-beta, meso-gamma) during the experiment period are described and discussed.

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