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Volume 26 Issue 1

Jan.  2009

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Article >  ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES  > 2009 >  26(1): 109-118

Interdecadal Change in Extreme Precipitation over South China and Its Mechanism

  • 1.

    Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093;Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093


doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-0109-x

  • Based on the daily precipitation data taken from 17 stations over South China during the period of 1961--2003, a sudden change in summer extreme precipitation events over South China in the early 1990s along with the possible mechanism connected with the anomalies of the latent heat flux over the South China Sea and the sensible heat flux over the Indochina peninsula are examined. The results show that both the annual and summer extreme precipitation events have obvious interdecadal variations and have increased significantly since the early 1990s. Moreover, the latent heat flux over the South China Sea and the sensible heat flux over the Indochina peninsula also have obvious interdecadal variations consistent with that of the extreme precipitation, and influence different months' extreme precipitation, respectively. Their effects are achieved by the interdecadal increases of the strengthening convection over South China through the South China Sea Summer Monsoon.
  • [1] Ying NA, Riyu LU, Bing LU, Min CHEN, Shiguang MIAO, 2019: Impact of the Horizontal Heat Flux in the Mixed Layer on an Extreme Heat Event in North China: A Case Study, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 36, 133-142.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-018-8133-3
    [2] ZHOU Lian-Tong, HUANG Ronghui, 2010: An Assessment of the Quality of Surface Sensible Heat Flux Derived from Reanalysis Data through Comparison with Station Observations in Northwest China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 27, 500-512.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-9081-8
    [3] PAN Naixian, LI Chengcai, 2008: Deduction of the Sensible Heat Flux from SODAR Data, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 25, 253-266.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-008-0253-8
    [4] GAO Zhiqiu, BIAN Lingen, WANG Jinxing, LU Longhua, 2003: Discussion on Calculation Methods of Sensible Heat Flux during GAME/Tibet in 1998, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 20, 357-368.  doi: 10.1007/BF02690794
    [5] CAO Ning, REN Baohua, ZHENG Jianqiu, 2015: Evaluation of CMIP5 Climate Models in Simulating 1979-2005 Oceanic Latent Heat Flux over the Pacific, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 32, 1603-1616.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-015-5016-8
    [6] Lujun XU, Huizhi LIU, Qun DU, Yang LIU, Jihua SUN, Anlun XU, Xiaoni MENG, 2021: Characteristics of Lake Breezes and Their Impacts on Energy and Carbon Fluxes in Mountainous Areas, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 38, 603-614.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-020-0298-x
    [7] FENG Lei, ZHOU Tianjun, WU Bo, Tim LI, Jing-Jia LUO, 2011: Projection of Future Precipitation Change over China with a High-Resolution Global Atmospheric Model, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 28, 464-476.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-010-0016-1
    [8] Se-Hwan YANG, LI Chaofan, and LU Riyu, 2014: Predictability of Winter Rainfall in South China as Demonstrated by the Coupled Models of ENSEMBLES, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 779-786.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-3172-2
    [9] SU Qin, LU Riyu, LI Chaofan, 2014: Large-scale Circulation Anomalies Associated with Interannual Variation in Monthly Rainfall over South China from May to August, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 273-282.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-3051-x
    [10] LIU Run, LIU Shaw Chen, Ralph J. CICERONE, SHIU Chein-Jung, LI Jun, WANG Jingli, ZHANG Yuanhang, 2015: Trends of Extreme Precipitation in Eastern China and Their Possible Causes, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 32, 1027-1037.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-015- 5002-1
    [11] Hongbo LIU, Ruojing YAN, Bin WANG, Guanghua CHEN, Jian LING, Shenming FU, 2023: Multiscale Combined Action and Disturbance Characteristics of Pre-summer Extreme Precipitation Events over South China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 40, 824-842.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-021-1172-1
    [12] Bin TANG, Wenting HU, Anmin DUAN, Yimin LIU, Wen BAO, Yue XIN, Xianyi YANG, 2024: Impacts of Future Changes in Heavy Precipitation and Extreme Drought on the Economy over South China and Indochina, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-3158-7
    [13] YUAN Fang, CHEN Wen, ZHOU Wen, 2012: Analysis of the Role Played by Circulation in the Persistent Precipitation over South China in June 2010, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 29, 769-781.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-012-2018-7
    [14] NIU Ning, LI Jianping, 2008: Interannual Variability of Autumn Precipitation over South China and its Relation to Atmospheric Circulation and SST Anomalies, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 25, 117-125.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-008-0117-2
    [15] Yongguang ZHENG, Yanduo GONG, Jiong CHEN, Fuyou TIAN, 2019: Warm-Season Diurnal Variations of Total, Stratiform, Convective, and Extreme Hourly Precipitation over Central and Eastern China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 36, 143-159.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-018-7307-3
    [16] LI Hongmei, FENG Lei, ZHOU Tianjun, 2011: Multi-model Projection of July--August Climate Extreme Changes over China under CO$_{2}$ Doubling. Part I: Precipitation, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 28, 433-447.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-010-0013-4
    [17] Ya GAO, Huijun WANG, Dong CHEN, 2017: Interdecadal Variations of the South Asian Summer Monsoon Circulation Variability and the Associated Sea Surface Temperatures on Interannual Scales, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 34, 816-832.  doi: 10.1007/ s00376-017-6246-8
    [18] Yuan WANG, 2015: Air Pollution or Global Warming: Attribution of Extreme Precipitation Changes in Eastern China——Comments on "Trends of Extreme Precipitation in Eastern China and Their Possible Causes", ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 32, 1444-1446.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-015-5109-4
    [19] LIU Run, LIU Shaw Chen, Ralph J. CICERONE, SHIU Chein-Jung, LI Jun, WANG Jingli, ZHANG Yuanhang, 2015: Response to Comments by Yuan WANG on "Trends of Extreme Precipitation in Eastern China and Their Possible Causes", ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 32, 1447-1448.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-015-5121-8
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    • Manuscript History

    Manuscript received: 10 January 2009
    Manuscript revised: 10 January 2009
    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

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    Interdecadal Change in Extreme Precipitation over South China and Its Mechanism

    • 1. Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093;Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093
    • Manuscript received: 2009-01-10
    • Manuscript revised: 2009-01-10

    Abstract: Based on the daily precipitation data taken from 17 stations over South China during the period of 1961--2003, a sudden change in summer extreme precipitation events over South China in the early 1990s along with the possible mechanism connected with the anomalies of the latent heat flux over the South China Sea and the sensible heat flux over the Indochina peninsula are examined. The results show that both the annual and summer extreme precipitation events have obvious interdecadal variations and have increased significantly since the early 1990s. Moreover, the latent heat flux over the South China Sea and the sensible heat flux over the Indochina peninsula also have obvious interdecadal variations consistent with that of the extreme precipitation, and influence different months' extreme precipitation, respectively. Their effects are achieved by the interdecadal increases of the strengthening convection over South China through the South China Sea Summer Monsoon.

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