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中国陆地闪电时空分布与大气环境要素关系的分析

Analysis of the Relationship between the Spatiotemporal Distribution of Land Lightning and Atmospheric Environmental Factors in China

  • 摘要: 利用2013~2017年全球闪电定位系统(WWLLN)的闪电资料,并结合欧洲中期天气预报中心的第五代再分析资料(ERA-5)对中国大陆不同区域的闪电进行研究,从时空分布和数量关系上分析了闪电和对流有效位能(CAPE)、降水(P)、对流抑制能(CIN)、相对湿度(RH)之间的关系。结果发现:闪电和CAPE、P、CAPE×P在时间、空间上都有着很好的相关性;适当小的CIN和足够大的CAPE最有利于产生闪电;越高的CAPE会带来越多的闪电;越小的抑制能量越容易发生对流并进一步产生闪电,但是CIN不能太小,过小的CIN会导致闪电变少;低CIN值不是闪电发生的充分条件,相对湿度也需要很高;闪电活动集中在RH处于60%~90%的环境下,若RH继续增大,闪电活动会减小;即使在高CIN环境下,只要有一定的水汽和CAPE条件,也会有大量闪电。

     

    Abstract: From 2013 to 2017, lightning data from WWLLN (Worldwide Lightning Location Network) was combined with ERA-5 (the fifth-generation reanalysis data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) to study lightning activity across different regions of Chinese mainland. The research analyzed the relationship between lightning and meteorological factors, including CAPE (convective available potential energy), precipitation (P), CIN (convective inhibition), and RH (relative humidity), focusing on spatial and temporal distributions and their quantitative correlations. The results indicate that lightning has a good correlation with CAPE, P, and CAPE×P in time and space. Lightning activity is most likely to occur when CIN is appropriately small and CAPE is sufficiently high. Higher CAPE values generally lead to increased lightning activity, while smaller inhibition energy promotes convection, thereby increasing the likelihood of lightning. However, CIN should not be too small, as excessively low CIN values result in reduced lightning activity. A low CIN value alone is not sufficient for lightning; a high RH is also required. The study found that lightning activity typically occurs in environments with RH levels between 60% and 90%. If RH continues to increase beyond this range, lightning activity will decrease. Even under high CIN conditions, significant lightning activity can still occur if both moisture and CAPE conditions are favorable.

     

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