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晚夏亚洲-北太平洋Rossby波异常对北半球平流层极涡建立时间的影响

The Influence of Late-Summer Rossby Wave Anomalies over the Asia-North Pacific Region on the Onset Timing of the Northern Hemisphere Stratospheric Polar Vortex

  • 摘要: 采用ERA5再分析资料,对1950—2022年北半球平流层大气环流从夏季至冬季的季节转换期间的极涡建立时间进行研究,探讨了平流层极涡建立偏早、偏晚的环流差异与对流层前兆信号,以及影响平流层极涡建立早、晚的物理机制。结果表明,北半球10 hPa平流层极涡建立的平均时间是8月27日,建立时间的最大跨度为24天,17个偏早年和13个偏晚年的平均时间差为12天。极涡建立偏早年,极涡建立前第二周,中高纬对流层有斜压环状模异常增强的前兆信号,相应地在亚洲-北太平洋区域出现了异常增强的Rossby波列,Rossby波4波主导了波作用通量的异常上传,促进了该阶段的纬向平均斜压环状模异常增强。该Rossby波异常的影响,在动力作用方面,涡动西风动量通量在极区外异常辐合,促使西风加速,最大值超过0.4 m s-1 day-1,由极区外向极发展,但该影响主要局限于100 hPa以下的平流层和对流层;而热力方面,涡动热量通量在极区外异常辐合加热,主要发生在100 hPa以上,最大值超过0.1 ℃ day-1,由下往上发展,增大的极区内外温度梯度通过热成风机制促进西风异常向中上平流层发展。两者共同作用下,极涡建立前一周内10 hPa以下平流层西风在70°N附近显著增强2.5 m s-1以上,促使平流层极涡提前建立。反之,若前期该区域性Rossby波列异常减弱,则平流层极涡推迟建立。

     

    Abstract: Using the ERA5 reanalysis data, this research is conducted on the onset timing of the Northern Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex (NSPVO) during the seasonal transition of atmospheric circulation from summer to winter in the period spanning 1950 to 2022. The circulation differences and tropospheric precursor signals between the early- and late-NSPVO are explored, as well as the physical mechanisms that influence the early- and late-NSPVO. The results indicate that the mean date for NSPVO at 10 hPa is August 27th. The maximum range of the establishment time spans 24 days. The average time discrepancy between the 17 early- and 13 late-NSPVO years amounts to 12 days. In the early-NSPVO years, the Northern Hemisphere baroclinic annular mode (NBAM) in the troposphere at middle and high latitudes anomalously strengthens from the second week before NSPVO. In the early-NSPVO years, starting from the second week before NSPVO, there are there are precursors of anomalous strengthening of the Northern Hemisphere baroclinic annular mode (NBAM) in the troposphere in middle and high latitudes. Correspondingly, an anomalously enhanced Rossby wave train appears over the Asia-North Pacific tropospheric region, where the wave 4 of the Rossby wave dominates the anomalous upward propagation of wave activity flux (WAF), promoting the enhancement of the zonal-mean NBAM during this stage. Under the influence of the abnormality of this Rossby wave, in terms of the dynamic effect, the eddy west wind momentum flux anomalously converges outside the polar region, the eddy west wind momentum flux anomalously converges outside the polar region, prompting the acceleration of west wind. This acceleration process, with a maximum value exceeding 0.4 m s-1 day-1, evolves from outside the polar region toward the pole. However, this influence is mainly confined to the stratosphere and troposphere below 100 hPa. In terms of the thermodynamic aspect, the eddy heat flux anomalously converges and heats outside the polar region and above 100 hPa, with the maximum value exceeding 0.1 ℃ day-1 and it develops from the lower level to the upper level. The increase temperature gradient between the inside and outside of the polar region promotes the west wind anomalies into the middle and upper stratosphere through the thermal wind mechanism. Under the combined effect of the two aspects, within the week before NSPVO, the stratosphere west wind below 10 hPa enhance by more than 2.5 m s-1 near 70°N, resulting in the early-NSPVO. But if the regional Rossby wave is abnormally weakened in the early stage, NSPVO will be postponed.

     

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