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大别山不同地形区短时强降水统计特征和发生机制研究

Spatiotemporal Characteristics and Formation Mechanisms of Short-Duration Heavy Precipitation in Different Regions of Dabie Mountains

  • 摘要: 大别山区为江淮地区短时强降水高发地区之一。本文利用高时空分辨率地面观测站资料和ERA5再分析数据对11年(2011~2021年)5~8月大别山区短时强降水的时空分布、环流特征和发生机制进行研究。大别山区有三个短时强降水高发区,分别位于西南部的山地—峡谷地区(西南部型)、山地东南部到长江河谷地区(东南部型)和北部平原地区(北部型)。不同地形区短时强降水月变化和日变化特征不同。西南部型6~7月发生频次高、强度大,东南部型7月频次最多且雨强最大,北部型7~8月频次高、强度大。西南部型凌晨发生的频次高、雨强大,东南部型和北部型日变化特征相似,均在午后到傍晚频次高、强度大。西南部型500 hPa低槽偏强、偏西,副高伸向华南沿海,850 hPa低涡位置偏北;东南部型低槽最强、副高偏东,低涡中心偏东;北部型低槽最浅,副高强度最弱、位置最东,低涡环 流最弱。三类短时强降水发生机制不同。西南部型西南气流最强, 锋区偏北偏西,山区西南部处于暖区迎风坡,地形抬升起重要作用。东南部型,7月主要由西南气流与大别山形成的边界层侧向摩擦和近地面向山风造成,8月则与冷式切变线、近地面冷空气侵入有关。北部型由近地面绕流偏东风(7月)、东北风(8月)在山区北部被迫抬升造成,该类型西南气流最弱。日变化方面,西南部短时强降水受西南急流日变化的影响,东南部、北部型则受太阳辐射日变化影响。

     

    Abstract: The Dabie Mountains region represents a high-frequency regime for Short-Duration Heavy Precipitation (SDHP) within the Yangtze-Huai River region. The ERA5 reanalysis dataset—the fifth-generation atmospheric reanalysis of the global climate produced by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)—along with hourly surface observational data, are employed to investigate the spatiotemporal distribution, synoptic circulation patterns, and formation mechanisms of SDHP across different regions of the Dabie Mountains from May to August during 2011–2021. It is demonstrated that there are three high-frequency SDHP regions, located in the southwestern canyon area (southwestern type), the southeastern mountain-valley region (southeastern type), and the northern plain area (northern type), respectively. The monthly and diurnal variations of SDHP exhibit distinct characteristics among the three types. Higher-frequency and stronger-intensity rainfall events occur in June–July for the southwestern type. The southeastern region exhibits the highest frequency and maximum rainfall intensity in July, whereas the northern region experiences peak activity from July to August, consistent with the seasonal evolution of atmospheric circulation. The southwestern type of rainfall shows higher frequency and intensity during the early morning hours, while the southeastern and northern regions display increasing activity from the afternoon to evening. Synoptic analysis reveals distinct characteristics among the three types. For the southwestern type, the 500-hPa trough is anomalously strong, with the subtropical high extending toward the southeastern coastline of China, and the 850-hPa vortex located further north. For the southeastern type, the 500-hPa trough is most pronounced, accompanied by an eastward-displaced subtropical high and vortex. The northern type of rainfall is characterized by the weakest trough and low-level vortex, as well as the easternmost position of the subtropical high. The southwestern type is primarily governed by orographic uplift over the warm-sector windward slopes, associated with the strongest southwesterly airflow and a northwestward-displaced front. The southeastern type of rainfall events in July are mainly attributed to the frictional effects of boundary-layer southwesterly airflow and onshore mountain winds, with a transition in August to influences from a cold shear line and near-surface cold air advection. In contrast, the northern type of rainfall is triggered by the lifting of near-surface cyclonic circulation in July and northeasterly winds in August over mountainous areas, where the southwesterly flow is weakest. The southwestern type of rainfall is modulated by diurnal variations of the low-level jet, whereas the southeastern and northern types are enhanced by solar radiation heating. This study highlights the distinct dynamical and thermodynamical processes that govern heavy precipitation across different regions of the Dabie Mountains.

     

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