近20年中国土地利用变化影响区域气候的数值模拟

陈海山; 李兴; 华文剑

doi:10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.1404.14114

近20年中国土地利用变化影响区域气候的数值模拟

doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.1404.14114

南京信息工程大学气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心/气象灾害教育部重点实验室, 南京210044;南京信息工程大学大气科学学院, 南京210044

基金项目: 全球变化重大科学研究计划项目2011CB952000, 公益性行业(气象)科研专项GYHY201406042, 国家自然科学基金项目41475083, “新世纪优秀人才支持计划”, 江苏高校优势学科建设工程项目PAPD

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出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2014-01-16
- 修回日期: 2014-05-08

Numerical Simulation of the Impact of Land Use/Land Cover Change over China on Regional Climates during the Last 20 Years

Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters/Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster of Ministry of Education, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044;School of Atmosphere Science, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044

摘要

摘要: 区域尺度土地利用/土地覆盖变化(LUCC)的气候效应以及土地覆盖数据的不确定性, 一直是LUCC研究不可忽视的关键问题。本研究基于最新的遥感资料, 采用新的区域气候模式RegCM4.0, 探讨了1990年至2010年中国LUCC对区域气候的影响。结果表明, 中国区域LUCC使得局地气温和日较差发生了显著改变, 而降水及低层环流场变化不显著;LUCC的影响存在季节性差异, 其中, 夏秋季响应程度较大且主要体现在边界层内。就LUCC对气候影响的机理各地区有所不同, 华北地区LUCC的气候效应主要受蒸散发作用主导, 而长江流域则由反照率与蒸散发共同作用。这些结果均说明, 较短时间尺度的LUCC气候效应主要体现在其局地范围, 且在不同的季节有所差异。
- 土地利用/土地覆盖变化 /
- 区域气候 /
- 数值模拟
Abstract: The climate effects of regional-scale land use/land cover change (LUCC), along with land cover data uncertainties, have typically been the focus of LUCC studies.Based on remotely sensed LUCC data, the Regional Climate Model (RegCM4.0) was used to investigate the climate effects of LUCC over China during the last 20 years.Results show that LUCC in China during the past 20 years has changed the regional temperature and diurnal temperature range significantly, but there has been no noticeable precipitation response or low-level atmospheric general circulation changes.The variation of these climate factors due to LUCC differ among the seasons, with greater responses in summer and autumn, and are mainly reflected in the boundary layer.The mechanisms involved vary significantly between regions.LUCC has exerted stronger evapotranspiration than albedo effects in the modulating North China climate, while the effects from these two factors are of equal importance in the Yangtze River Basin.These results indicate that the impact of shorter time scale LUCC is local and limited.
- Land use/land cover change /
- Regional climate /
- Numerical simulation

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