高级检索

留言板

尊敬的读者、作者、审稿人, 关于本刊的投稿、审稿、编辑和出版的任何问题, 您可以本页添加留言。我们将尽快给您答复。谢谢您的支持!

姓名
邮箱
手机号码
标题
留言内容
验证码

近20年中国土地利用变化影响区域气候的数值模拟

陈海山 李兴 华文剑

陈海山, 李兴, 华文剑. 近20年中国土地利用变化影响区域气候的数值模拟[J]. 大气科学, 2015, 39(2): 357-369. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.1404.14114
引用本文: 陈海山, 李兴, 华文剑. 近20年中国土地利用变化影响区域气候的数值模拟[J]. 大气科学, 2015, 39(2): 357-369. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.1404.14114
CHEN Haishan, LI Xing, HUA Wenjian. Numerical Simulation of the Impact of Land Use/Land Cover Change over China on Regional Climates during the Last 20 Years[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2015, 39(2): 357-369. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.1404.14114
Citation: CHEN Haishan, LI Xing, HUA Wenjian. Numerical Simulation of the Impact of Land Use/Land Cover Change over China on Regional Climates during the Last 20 Years[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2015, 39(2): 357-369. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.1404.14114

近20年中国土地利用变化影响区域气候的数值模拟

doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.1404.14114
基金项目: 全球变化重大科学研究计划项目2011CB952000, 公益性行业(气象)科研专项GYHY201406042, 国家自然科学基金项目41475083, “新世纪优秀人才支持计划”, 江苏高校优势学科建设工程项目PAPD

Numerical Simulation of the Impact of Land Use/Land Cover Change over China on Regional Climates during the Last 20 Years

  • 摘要: 区域尺度土地利用/土地覆盖变化(LUCC)的气候效应以及土地覆盖数据的不确定性, 一直是LUCC研究不可忽视的关键问题。本研究基于最新的遥感资料, 采用新的区域气候模式RegCM4.0, 探讨了1990年至2010年中国LUCC对区域气候的影响。结果表明, 中国区域LUCC使得局地气温和日较差发生了显著改变, 而降水及低层环流场变化不显著;LUCC的影响存在季节性差异, 其中, 夏秋季响应程度较大且主要体现在边界层内。就LUCC对气候影响的机理各地区有所不同, 华北地区LUCC的气候效应主要受蒸散发作用主导, 而长江流域则由反照率与蒸散发共同作用。这些结果均说明, 较短时间尺度的LUCC气候效应主要体现在其局地范围, 且在不同的季节有所差异。
  • [1] Benítez P C, McCallum I, Obersteiner M, et al.2004.Global supply for carbon sequestration:Identifying least-Cost afforestation sites under country risk consideration[R].International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, IIASA IR2004-04-022.32.
    [2] Chase T N, Pielke Sr R A, Kittel T G F, et al.2000.Simulated impacts of historical land cover changes on global climate in northern winter[J].Climate Dyn., 16 (2-3):93-105.
    [3] Chase T N, Pielke Sr R A, Kittel T G F, et al.2001.Relative climatic effects of landcover change and elevated carbon dioxide combined with aerosols:A comparison of model results and observations[J].J.Geophys.Res., 106 (D23):31685-31631, 31691.
    [4] 陈锋, 谢正辉.2008.农作物分布对南水北调受水区域陆面过程模拟的影响[J].地理科学进展, 27 (4):28-36.Chen Feng, Xie Zhenghui.2008.Effects of crop distribution on land surface simulations over the intake area of the South-to-North Water Transfer Project[J].Progress in Geography (in Chinese), 27 (4):28-36.
    [5] 陈海山, 张叶.2013.大规模城市化影响东亚冬季风的敏感性试验[J].科学通报, 58 (13):1221-1227.Chen Haishan, Zhang Ye.2013.Sensitivity experiments of impacts of large-scale urbanization in East China on East Asian winter monsoon[J].Chin.Sci.Bull., 58 (3):809-815.
    [6] 陈军明, 赵平, 郭晓寅.2010.中国西部植被覆盖变化对北方夏季气候影响的数值模拟[J].气象学报, 68 (2):173-181.Chen Junming, Zhao Ping, Guo Xiaoyin.2010.Numerical simulation of the impact of changes in the vegetation in the western China on the summer climate over the northern China[J].Acta Meteorologica Sinica (in Chinese), 68 (2):173-181.
    [7] 陈星, 雷鸣, 汤剑平.2006.地表植被改变对气候变化影响的模拟研究[J].地球科学进展, 21 (10):1075-1082.Chen Xing, Lei Ming, Tang Jianping.2006.Simulating the effect of changed vegetation on the climate change in Eurasia[J].Advances in Earth Science (in Chinese), 21 (10):1075-1082.
    [8] Dickinson R E, Kennedy P J, Henderson-Sellers A.1993.Biosphere- atmosphere transfer scheme (BATS) version 1e as coupled to the NCAR community climate model[M].National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Division.
    [9] 丁一汇, 李巧萍, 董文杰.2005.植被变化对中国区域气候影响的数值模拟研究[J].气象学报, 63 (5):613-621.Ding Yihui, Li Qiaoping, Dong Wenjie.2005.A numerical simulation study of the impacts of vegetation changes on regional climate in China[J].Acta Meteorologica Sinica (in Chinese), 63 (5):613-621.
    [10] Emanuel K A, Živkovic-Rothman M.1999.Development and evaluation of a convection scheme for use in climate models[J].Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 56 (11):1766-1782.
    [11] Foley J A, DeFries R, Asner G P, et al.2005.Global consequences of land use[J].Science, 309 (5734):570-574.
    [12] Fu C B.2003.Potential impacts of human-induced land cover change on East Asia monsoon[J].Global and Planetary Change, 37 (3-4):219-229.
    [13] 傅伯杰, 牛栋, 赵士洞.2005.全球变化与陆地生态系统研究:回顾与展望[J].地球科学进展, 20 (5):556-560.Fu Bojie, Niu Dong, Zhao Shidong.2005.Study on Global change and terrestrial ecosystems:History and prospect[J].Advances in Earth Science (in Chinese), 20 (5):556-560.
    [14] 符淙斌, 袁慧玲.2001.恢复自然植被对东亚夏季气候和环境影响的一个虚拟试验[J].科学通报, 46 (8):691-695.Fu Congbin, Yuan Huiling.2001.A virtual experiment on the effects of natural vegetation recovery on the East Asia summer climate and environment[J].Chin.Sci.Bull., 46 (8):691-695.
    [15] Gao X J, Luo Y, Lin W T, et al.2003.Simulation of effects of land use change on climate in China by a regional climate model[J].Adv.Atmos.Sci., 20 (4):583-592.
    [16] Gao X J, Xu Y, Zhao Z C, et al.2006.On the role of resolution and topography in the simulation of East Asia precipitation[J].Theor.Appl.Climatol., 86 (1-4):173-185.
    [17] Gao X J, Wang M L, Giorgi F.2013.Climate change over China in the 21st century as simulated by BCC_CSM1.1-RegCM4.0[J].Atmos.Oceanic Sci.Lett., 6 (5):381-386.
    [18] 高学杰, 张冬峰, 陈仲新, 等.2007.中国当代土地利用对区域气候影响的数值模拟[J].中国科学:地球科学, 37 (3):397-404.Gao Xuejie, Zhang Dongfeng, Chen Zhongxin, et al.2007.Numerical simulation on impact of land use change on regional climate in China[J].Science China:Earth Sciences, 37 (3):397-404.
    [19] Giorgi F, Coppola E, Solmon F, et al.2012.RegCM4:Model description and preliminary tests over multiple CORDEX domains[J].Climate Res., 52 (1):7-29.doi: 10.3354/cr01018.
    [20] 宫鹏.2009.基于全球通量观测站的全球土地覆盖图精度检验[J].自然科学进展, 19 (7):754-759.Gong Peng.2009.Accuracy test on global land cover map based on the global flux observation station[J].Progress in Natural Science (in Chinese), 19 (7):754-759.
    [21] Hahmann A N, Dickinson R E.1997.RCCM2-BATS model over tropical South America:Applications to tropical deforestation[J].J.Climate, 10 (8):1944-1964.
    [22] Henderson-Sellers A, Dickinson R E, Durbidge T, et al.1993.Tropical deforestation:Modeling local-to regional-scale climate change[J].J.Geophys.Res.:Atmos.(1984-2012), 98 (D4):7289-7315.
    [23] Herold M, Mayaux P, Woodcock C, et al.2008.Some challenges in global land cover mapping:An assessment of agreement and accuracy in existing 1 km datasets[J].Remote Sensing of Environment, 112 (5):2538-2556.
    [24] Hua W J, Chen H S.2013.Recognition of climatic effects of land use/land cover change under global warming[J].Chinese Science Bulletin, 58 (31):3852-3858.
    [25] 华文剑, 陈海山.2013.区域尺度土地利用/土地覆盖变化对气温日较差的影响[J].气候变化研究进展, 9 (2):117-122.Hua Wenjian, Chen Haishan.2013.Impacts of regional-scale land use/land cover Change on diurnal temperature range[J].Advances in Climate Change Research (in Chinese), 9 (2):117-122.
    [26] IPCC.2013.Climate Change 2013:The Physical Science Basis.Stocker T F, Qin D, Plattner G K, et al., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1535 pp, doi:10.1017/ CBO9781107415324.
    [27] Kiehl J T, Hack J J, Bonan G B, et al.1996.Description of the NCAR Community Climate Model (CCM3)[R].Technical Note.National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO (United States).Climate and Global Dynamics Div.
    [28] Kueppers L M, Snyder M A, Sloan L C.2007.Irrigation cooling effect:Regional climate forcing by land-use change[J].Geophys.Res.Lett., 34 (3):L03703, doi: 10.1029/2006GL028679.
    [29] Li H X, Xiao P F, Feng X Z, et al.2015.Land cover mapping over 30 years in China using LTDR time series data[J].Int.J.Remote Sens.(in press)
    [30] 李巧萍, 丁一汇, 董文杰.2006.中国近代土地利用变化对区域气候影响的数值模拟[J].气象学报, 64 (3):257-270.Li Qiaoping, Ding Yihui, Dong Wenjie.2006.A numerical simulation on impact of historical land-use changes on regional climate in China since 1700[J].Acta Meteorologica Sinica (in Chinese), 64 (3):257-270.
    [31] 李婧华, 陈海山, 华文剑.2013.大尺度土地利用变化对东亚地表能量, 水分循环及气候影响的敏感性试验[J].大气科学学报, 36 (2):184- 191.Li Jinghua, Chen Haishan, Hua Wenjian.2013.Sensitivity experiments on impacts of large-scale land use change on surface energy balance, hydrological cycle and regional climate over East Asia[J].Transactions of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 36 (2):184-191.
    [32] 刘纪远, 刘明亮, 庄大方, 等.2002.中国近期土地利用变化的空间格局分析[J].中国科学:地球科学, 32 (12):1031-1040.Liu Jiyuan, Liu Mingliang, Zhuang Dafang, et al.2002.Spatial analysis on recent land use change in China[J].Science China:Earth Sciences (in Chinese), 32 (12):1031-1040.
    [33] 刘纪远, 张增祥, 徐新良, 等.2009.21世纪初中国土地利用变化的空间格局与驱动力分析[J].地理学报, 64 (12):1411-1420.Liu Jiyuan, Zhang Zengxiang, Xu Xinliang, et al.2009.Spatial patterns and driving forces of land use change in China in the early 21st century[J].Acta Geographica Sinica (in Chinese), 64 (12):1411-1420.
    [34] 刘向培, 王汉杰, 刘金波.2011.区域气候模式分辨率对夏季降水模拟的影响[J].水科学进展, 22 (5):615-623.Liu Xiangpei, Wang Hanjie, Liu Jinbo.2011.Influence of spatial resolution in a regional climate model on summer perecipitation simulation[J].Advances in Water Science (in Chinese), 22 (5):615-623.
    [35] 毛慧琴, 延晓冬, 熊喆.2011a.土地利用变化对气候影响的研究进展[J].气候与环境研究, 16 (4):513-524.Mao Huiqin, Yan Xiaodong, Xiong Zhe.2011a.An overview of impacts of land use change on climate[J].Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese), 16(4):513-524.
    [36] 毛慧琴, 延晓冬, 熊喆, 等.2011b.农田灌溉对印度区域气候的影响模拟[J].生态学报, 31(4):1038-1045.Mao Huiqin, Yan Xiaodong, Xiong Zhe, et al.2011b.Modeled impact of irrigation on regional climate in India[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica (in Chinese), 31 (4):1038-1045.
    [37] Pielke Sr R A.2001.Influence of the spatial distribution of vegetation and soils on the prediction of cumulus convective rainfall[J].Rev.Geophys., 39 (2):151-177.
    [38] Pielke Sr R A.2005.Land use and climate change[J].Science, 310 (5754):1625-1626.
    [39] Pitman A J, Avila F B, Abramowitz G, et al.2011.Importance of background climate in determining impact of land-cover change on regional climate[J].Nature Climate Change, 1 (9):472-475.
    [40] 冉有华, 李新, 卢玲.2009.四种常用的全球1 km土地覆盖数据中国区域的精度评价[J].冰川冻土, 31 (3):490-500.Ran Youhua, Li Xin, Lu Ling.2009.Accuracy evaluation of the four remote sensing based land cover products over China[J].Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology (in Chinese), 31 (3):490-500.
    [41] Sedano F, Gong P, Ferrão M.2005.Land cover assessment with MODIS imagery in southern African Miombo ecosystems[J].Remote Sensing of Environment, 98 (4):429-441.
    [42] 邵璞, 曾晓东.2012.土地利用和土地覆盖变化对气候系统影响的研究进展[J].气候与环境研究, 17 (1):103-111.Shao Pu, Zeng Xiaodong.2012.Progress in the study of the effects of land use and land cover change on the climate system[J].Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese), 17 (1):103-111.
    [43] Shi W L, Wang H J.2003.The regional climate effects of replacing farmland and re-greening the desertification lands with forest or grass in West China[J].Adv.Atmos.Sci., 20 (1):45-54.
    [44] 施能, 顾骏强, 黄先香, 等.2004.合成风场的统计检验和蒙特卡洛检验[J].大气科学, 28 (6):950-956.Shi Neng, Gu Junqiang, Huang Xianxiang, et al.2004.Significance test and Monte Carlo test used in composite analysis of window field and applications[J].Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 28 (6):950-956.
    [45] Shi Y, Gao X J.2012.Projection of water availability in the Miyun watershed from an RCM simulation[J].Atmos.Oceanic Sci.Lett., 5 (6):468-472.
    [46] Turner B L, Skole D, Sanderson S, et al.1995.Land-use and land-cover change.Science/Research Plan[R].Global Change Report, IGBP Report No.35 and HDP Report No.37.Stockholm and Geneva.
    [47] Wang Y L, Feng J M, Gao H.2014.Numerical simulation of the impact of land cover change on regional climate in China[J].Theor.Appl.Climatol., 115 (1-2):141-152.
    [48] Wang H, Pitman A J, Zhao M, et al.2003.The impact of land-cover modification on the June meteorology of China since 1700, simulated using a regional climate model[J].International Journal of Climatology, 23 (5):511-527.
    [49] Werth D, Avissar R.2002.The local and global effects of Amazon deforestation[J].Journal of Geophysical Research:Atmospheres (1984-2012), 107 (D20):LBA 55-1-LBA 55-8.
    [50] Yamashima R, Takata K, Matsumoto J, et al.2011.Numerical study of the impacts of land use/cover changes between 1700 and 1850 on the seasonal hydroclimate in monsoon Asia[J].Meteorological Society of Japan Serie, 89:291-298.
    [51] 杨永可, 肖鹏峰, 冯学智, 等.2014.五种大尺度土地覆盖数据集在中国及周边区域的精度评价研究[J].遥感学报, 18 (2):453-475.Yang Yongke, Xiao Pengfeng, Feng Xuezhi, et al.2014.Comparison and assessment of large scale land cover datasets in China and adjacent regions[J].Journal of Remote Sensing (in Chinese), 18 (2):453-475.
    [52] 尹永飞, 陈星, 张洁, 等.2009.中国过去300年土地利用变化及其气候效应[J].第四纪研究, 29 (6):1162-1169.Yin Yongfei, Chen Xing, Zhang Jie, et al.2009.Land use change of the past 300 years in China and its climate effects[J].Quaternary Sciences (in Chinese), 29 (6):1162- 1169.
    [53] 于燕, 谢正辉.2012.中国区域陆面覆盖变化的气候效应模拟研究[J].气候变化研究进展, 8 (6):426-433.Yu Yan, Xie Zhenghui.2012.A simulation study on climatic effects of land cover change in China[J].Advances in Climate Change (in Chinese), 8 (6):426-433.
    [54] Zeng X, Zhao M, Dickinson R E.1998.Intercomparison of bulk aerodynamic algorithms for the computation of sea surface fluxes using TOGA COARE and TAO data[J].Journal of Climate, 11 (10):2628- 2644.
    [55] Zhang J Y, Dong W J, Wu L Y, et al.2005.Impact of land use changes on surface warming in China[J].Adv.Atmos.Sci., 22 (3):343-348.
    [56] Zhang D F, Gao X J, Ouyang L C, et al.2008.Simulation of present climate over East Asia by a regional climate model[J].Journal of Tropical Meteorology, 14 (1):19-23.
    [57] Zhang D F, Gao X J, Shi Y, et al.2010.Agricultural land use effects on climate over China as simulated by a regional climate model[J].Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 24 (2):215-224.
    [58] 张耀存, 傅小锋.1998.苏南地区土地利用状况变化对区域气候环境的可能影响[J].地球科学进展, 13 (4):409-411.Zhang Yaocun, Fu Xiaofeng.1998.The possible effects of land use condition changes on the regional climate environment in the southern part of Jiangsu Province[J].Advance in Earth Sciences (in Chinese), 13 (4):409-411.邹靖, 谢正辉.2012.RegCM4中陆面过程参数化方案对东亚区域气候模拟的影响[J].气象学报, 70 (6):1312-1326.Zou Jing, Xie Zhenghui.The effects of the land-surface process parameterization of the RegCM4 on climate simulation in East Asia[J].Acta Meteorologica Sinica (in Chinese), 70 (6):1312-1326.
  • 加载中
计量
  • 文章访问数:  2700
  • HTML全文浏览量:  19
  • PDF下载量:  2890
  • 被引次数: 0
出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2014-01-16
  • 修回日期:  2014-05-08

目录

    /

    返回文章
    返回