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许晓林, LIUQingfu, 陈葆德, 王晓峰. GRAPES-TCM台风模式的新涡旋初始化方案——原理和实施[J]. 大气科学, 2019, 43(5): 975-989. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.1812.18105
引用本文: 许晓林, LIUQingfu, 陈葆德, 王晓峰. GRAPES-TCM台风模式的新涡旋初始化方案——原理和实施[J]. 大气科学, 2019, 43(5): 975-989. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.1812.18105
Vortex Initialization Scheme in GRAPES-TCM Model:[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2019, 43(5): 975-989. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.1812.18105
Citation: Vortex Initialization Scheme in GRAPES-TCM Model:[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2019, 43(5): 975-989. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.1812.18105

GRAPES-TCM台风模式的新涡旋初始化方案——原理和实施

Vortex Initialization Scheme in GRAPES-TCM Model:

  • 摘要: 在更新的GRAPES-TCM (Global/Regional Assimilation and Prediction System-Tropical Cyclone Model)台风模式架构下,引进与发展了一个新的涡旋初始化方案。该方案对台风涡旋进行极小化订正,减少了人为因素对台风涡旋结构的影响,所产生的涡旋满足特定的动力与热力平衡,且保持了与模式动力及热力的一致性。新的涡旋初始化方案能更精细地体现初始台风的强度与结构,强度更接近于观测,结构更为合理。试验表明其可以有效地改善台风路径与强度的预报精度。

     

    Abstract: A vortex initialization scheme has been developed and implemented in a newly updated version of GRAPES-TCM (Global/Regional Assimilation and Prediction System-Tropical Cyclone Model) by following the principle of HWRF (Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting Model), in which correction for the vortex is as small as possible. The new scheme applies a small correction in the storm vortex to maintain a certain consistency with the model. Arbitrariness in the modification of the vortex is largely reduced, and the resultant vortex holds related dynamical and thermodynamical balance. Results indicate that the initial vortex from the new scheme possesses an intensity that is considerably closer to the observed intensity and increased structural detail. Hindcast shows that the new vortex scheme can effectively improve the accuracy of typhoon tracking and intensity forecasting.

     

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