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基于MODIS白天地温产品的青藏高原海拔依赖型变暖特征分析

吴芳营 游庆龙 蔡子怡 张玲 康世昌 翟盘茂

吴芳营, 游庆龙, 蔡子怡, 等. 2022. 基于MODIS白天地温产品的青藏高原海拔依赖型变暖特征分析[J]. 大气科学, 46(2): 442−454 doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2111.21157
引用本文: 吴芳营, 游庆龙, 蔡子怡, 等. 2022. 基于MODIS白天地温产品的青藏高原海拔依赖型变暖特征分析[J]. 大气科学, 46(2): 442−454 doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2111.21157
WU Fangying, YOU Qinglong, CAI Ziyi, et al. 2022. Characteristics of Elevation Dependent Warming over the Tibetan Plateau Based on the MODIS Daytime Land Surface Temperature Data [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 46(2): 442−454 doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2111.21157
Citation: WU Fangying, YOU Qinglong, CAI Ziyi, et al. 2022. Characteristics of Elevation Dependent Warming over the Tibetan Plateau Based on the MODIS Daytime Land Surface Temperature Data [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 46(2): 442−454 doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2111.21157

基于MODIS白天地温产品的青藏高原海拔依赖型变暖特征分析

doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2111.21157
基金项目: “第二次青藏高原综合科学考察研究”专项2019QZKK0105
详细信息
    作者简介:

    吴芳营,女,1995年出生,博士研究生,主要从事青藏高原气候变化研究。E-mail: wufangy1@163.com

    通讯作者:

    游庆龙,E-mail: qlyou@fudan.edu.cn;张玲,E-mail: lingzhang@nuist.edu.cn

  • 中图分类号: P467

Characteristics of Elevation Dependent Warming over the Tibetan Plateau Based on the MODIS Daytime Land Surface Temperature Data

Funds: Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research (STEP) Project (Grant 2019QZKK0105)
  • 摘要: 基于2001~2018年中分辨率成像光谱仪(MODIS)探测的白天地面温度(简称MODIS 白天地温)资料,与青藏高原(简称高原)122个气象站点观测的最高气温资料,在年尺度上评估了MODIS 白天地温在高原的适用性,研究了高原五个干湿分区下MODIS 白天地温的海拔依赖型变暖特征,得到以下主要结论:(1)MODIS白天地温能够基本再现观测的最高气温的时空以及海拔依赖型变暖特征;(2)高原整体上,MODIS白天地温存在显著的海拔依赖型变暖特征,平均海拔每增加100 m,其趋势增加0.02°C (10a)−1,且受积雪—反照率反馈主导;(3)干湿分区下,海拔依赖型变暖特征在高原表现为偏湿润地区强于偏干旱地区;季风区强于西风区。海拔依赖型特征强弱:半湿润地区>湿润半湿润地区>半干旱地区>湿润地区>干旱地区。平均海拔每增加100 m,以上区域的地温趋势分别增加0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01°C (10a)−1。半湿润和湿润半湿润地区年均温在0°C左右,在气候变暖背景下积雪—反照率反馈作用最为强烈,是其海拔依赖型变暖的主导因素;干旱与半干旱地区年均温相对更低,气候变暖程度对积雪影响相对较小,积雪—反照率反馈作用被限制,但仍对上述地区的海拔依赖型变暖起主导作用;而湿润地区的积雪覆盖率的上升可能是由于降雪(固态降水)增加抵消了积雪融化损耗,云辐射、水汽等其他因素主导了其海拔依赖型变暖。
  • 图  1  青藏高原(简称高原)分区以及气象站点(红点)分布,图中字符ID1、IC2等意义见表1

    Figure  1.  Ecosystem zones and distribution of meteorological stations over the Tibetan Plateau (TP), and the meanings of characters ID1, IC2, etc. in the figure are shown in Table 1

    图  2  (a–f)2001~2018年观测的最高气温与中分辨率成像光谱仪(MODIS)白天地温在青藏高原不同海拔区间的时间序列,右下角数字表示两序列的相关系数,括号内蓝色数字代表该海拔区间内气象站点数;(g)观测的最高气温趋势随海拔区间的变化,EDW后的数字表示趋势与海拔的相关系数;(h,i)观测的最高气温与MODIS白天地温在不同海拔区间(彩色圆点)趋势的散点图:(h)站点所在像元的MODIS,(i)海拔区间的MODIS,右下角数字表示相关系数(相关系数后***表示通过0.01显著性水平的t检验)

    Figure  2.  (a–f) Time series of the observed maximum temperature and Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) daytime Land Surface Temperature (LST) at different elevation ranges over the TP during 2001–2018. The number in the bottom right corner represents the correlation coefficient of the two sequences. The blue numbers in brackets of the figure title represent the number of meteorological stations in the elevation range. (g) Trend of observed maximum temperature changes with the elevation. The number after EDW indicates the correlation coefficient between the trend and elevation. (h–i) Scatter plots of the trend of the the observed maximum temperature and MODIS daytime LST at different elevation ranges (colored dot): (h) the MODIS of the pixel where the station is located; (i) the MODIS of the elevation range (the number in the bottom right corner represents the correlation coefficient, *** indicates that passed the t-test of 0.01 significance level)

    图  3  2001~2018年 MODIS白天地温在高原以及五个干湿分区的时间序列。Trend表示趋势(均未通过显著性检验),单位:°C (10a)−1 ;rstd表示一元回归系数的标准误差,相当于趋势的标准误差,单位:°C a−1

    Figure  3.  Time series of the MODIS daytime LST over the TP and its five subregions during 2001–2018. “Trend” represents the trend (none of them passed the significance test), units: °C (10a)−1, and “rstd” represents standard error of the estimated regression coefficient, units: °C a−1

    图  4  高原以及五个干湿分区下2001~2018 年MODIS白天地温的年际趋势随海拔区间的变化。柱状图上数字代表相应海拔区间的平均白天地面温度

    Figure  4.  Trend of the MODIS daytime LST changes with elevation ranges over the TP and its five subregions during 2001–2018. The numbers on the histogram represents the mean MODIS daytime LST in the corresponding elevation range

    图  5  2001~2018年MODIS积雪覆盖率在高原的(a)气候态、(b)变化趋势分布、(c)趋势随海拔区间的变化以及(d)不同海拔区间的MODIS白天地温趋势与MODIS积雪覆盖率趋势比较。图中数字为相关系数(**表示通过0.05显著性水平的t检验)

    Figure  5.  Spatial distributions of (a) climatology, (b) trend, and (c) trend change with elevation ranges from the MODIS snow cover percent (SCP) and (d) trend from the MODIS daytime LST versus trend from the snow cover in different elevation range over the TP during 2001–2018. The number in figure d represents the correlation coefficient (** indicates that it passed the t-test of 0.05 significance level)

    图  6  2001~2018年高原以及五个干湿分区下不同海拔区间的MODIS白天地温与MODIS积雪覆盖率趋势比较。左下角数字表示两者相关系数(***、**分别表示相关系数通过0.01、0.05显著性水平的t检验)

    Figure  6.  Trend from the MODIS daytime LST versus the trend from the snow cover percent (SCP) in different elevation ranges over the TP and its five subregions during 2001–2018. The number in the bottom left corner represents the correlation coefficient (*** and ** indicate that the correlation coefficients passed the t-test of 0.01 and 0.05 significant level, respectively)

    表  1  高原分区

    Table  1.   Information of ecosystem zones over the TP

    温度带干湿地区自然地带
    I 高原亚寒带B 半湿润地区IB1 果洛那曲,高寒灌丛草甸地带
    C 半干旱地区IC1 青南,高寒草甸草原地带
    IC2 羌塘,高寒草原地带
    D 干旱地区ID1 昆仑,高寒荒漠地带
    II 高原温带A/B 湿润/半湿润地区IIAB1 川西藏东,山地针叶林地带
    C 半干旱地区IIC1 藏南,山地灌丛草原地带
    IIC2 青东祁连,山地草原地带
    D 干旱地区IID1 阿里,山地半荒漠、荒漠地带
    IID2 柴达木,山地荒漠地带
    IID3 昆仑北翼,山地荒漠地带
    O 山地亚热带A 湿润地区OA1 东喜马拉雅南翼山地常绿阔叶林地带
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  2  基于MODIS和数字高程模型(DEM)资料的高原以及五个干湿分区的基本特征(趋势均未通过显著性检验)

    Table  2.   Basic characteristics of the TP and its five subregions based on MODIS and Digital Elevation Model data (none of them passed the significance test)

    基本特征
    分区平均海拔/m像元数(比例)平均温度/°C
    (趋势/°C (10a)−1
    平均积雪覆盖率
    (趋势/°C (10a)−1
    高原整体4436.897246(100.00%)11.86(0.22)17.76%(−0.46)
    干旱地区4290.628897(29.71%)12.63(0.17)19.25%(−1.03)
    半干旱地区4698.340495(41.64%)12.39(0.24)12.03%(0.04)
    半湿润地区4463.29882(10.16%)11.42(0.14)18.41%(0.19)
    湿润半湿润地区4167.016140(16.60%)9.83(0.32)25.46%(−1.17)
    湿润地区3258.41720(1.77%)8.71(-0.01)46.42%(1.10)
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  3  高原以及五个干湿分区2001~2018 年MODIS白天地温的年际趋势与海拔的相关系数(***,**,*分别表示通过0.01,0.05,0.1显著性水平的$t$检验)

    Table  3.   Correlation coefficients between the trend of the MODIS daytime LST and elevation over the TP and its five subregions during 2001–2018 (***, **, and * indicates that passed the $ t $-test of 0.01, 0.05, and 0.1 significant level, respectively)

    相关系数
    分区海拔 >2 km2~5 km>5 km趋势随海拔变化速率/°C (10a)−1 (100 m) −1
    高原整体0.23***0.17***−0.010.02
    干旱地区0.11***0.06***−0.02*0.01
    半干旱地区0.34***0.26***0.03***0.03
    半湿润地区0.46***0.41***0.10***0.06
    湿润半湿润地区0.40***0.39***−0.07***0.03
    湿润地区0.29***0.28***0.180.01
    下载: 导出CSV
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出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2021-08-19
  • 录用日期:  2021-12-21
  • 网络出版日期:  2021-12-22
  • 刊出日期:  2022-03-16

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