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Volume 27 Issue 4

Jul.  2010

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Article >  ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES  > 2010 >  27(4): 957-965

Application of an Economy--Climate Model to Assess the Impact of Climate Change

  • 1.

    National Key Laboratory for Surface Processes & Source Ecology/College of Global Change and Earth Systems, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100857, Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment for East Asia, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,National Key Laboratory for Surface Processes & Source Ecology/College of Global Change and Earth Systems, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100857,National Key Laboratory for Surface Processes & Source Ecology/College of Global Change and Earth Systems, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100857, Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment for East Asia, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029


doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-8166-8

  • An interdisciplinary investigation was conducted to assess the impact of climate change on grain yields using an economy--climate model (C-D-C). The model was formulated by incorporating climate factors into the classic Cobb-Douglas (C-D) economic production function model. The economic meanings of the model output elasticities are described and elucidated. The C-D-C model was applied to the assessment of the impact of climate change on grain yields in China during the past 20 years, from 1983 through 2002. In the study, the land of China was divided into eight regions, and both the C-D-C and C-D models were applied to each individual region. The results suggest that the C-D-C model is superior to the classic C-D model, indicating the importance of climate factors. Prospective applications of the C-D-C model are discussed.
  • [1] DONG Wenjie, CHOU Jieming, FENG Guolin, 2007: A New Economic Assessment Index for the Impact of Climate Change on Grain Yield, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 24, 336-342.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-007-0336-y
    [2] REN Guoyu, DING Yihui, ZHAO Zongci, ZHENG Jingyun, WU Tongwen, TANG Guoli, XU Ying, 2012: Recent Progress in Studies of Climate Change in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 29, 958-977.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-012-1200-2
    [3] ZHANG Wen, HUANG Yao, SUN Wenjuan, YU Yongqiang, 2007: Simulating Crop Net Primary Production in China from 2000 to 2050 by Linking the Crop-C model with a FGOALS's Model Climate Change Scenario, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 24, 845-854.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-007-0845-8
    [4] SUN Guodong, MU Mu, 2011: Response of a Grassland Ecosystem to Climate Change in a Theoretical Model, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 28, 1266-1278.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-011-0169-6
    [5] Ge Ling, Liang Jiaxing, Chen Yiliang, 1996: Spatial / Temporal Features of Antarctic Climate Change, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 13, 375-382.  doi: 10.1007/BF02656854
    [6] Dai Xiaosu, Ding Yihui, 1994: A Modeling Study of Climate Change and Its Implication for Agriculture in China Part II: The Implication of Climate Change for Agriculture in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 11, 499-506.  doi: 10.1007/BF02658171
    [7] Gao Ge, Huang Chaoying, 2001: Climate Change and Its Impact on Water Resources in North China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 18, 718-732.  doi: 10.1007/BF03403497
    [8] JI Mingxia, HUANG Jianping, XIE Yongkun, LIU Jun, 2015: Comparison of Dryland Climate Change in Observations and CMIP5 Simulations, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 32, 1565-1574.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-015-4267-8
    [9] Jeong-Hyeong LEE, Byungsoo KIM, Keon-Tae SOHN, Won-Tae KOWN, Seung-Ki MIN, 2005: Climate Change Signal Analysis for Northeast Asian Surface Temperature, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 22, 159-171.  doi: 10.1007/BF02918506
    [10] DING Yihui, REN Guoyu, ZHAO Zongci, XU Ying, LUO Yong, LI Qiaoping, ZHANG Jin, 2007: Detection, Causes and Projection of Climate Change over China: An Overview of Recent Progress, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 24, 954-971.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-007-0954-4
    [11] Chong-yu XU, Elin WIDN, Sven HALLDIN, 2005: Modelling Hydrological Consequences of Climate Change-Progress and Challenges, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 22, 789-797.  doi: 10.1007/BF02918679
    [12] BAI Jie, GE Quansheng, DAI Junhu, 2011: The Response of First Flowering Dates to Abrupt Climate Change in Beijing, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 28, 564-572.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-010-9219-8
    [13] Zhao Ming, Zeng Xinmin, 2002: A Theoretical Analysis on the Local Climate Change Induced by the Change of Landuse, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 19, 45-63.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-002-0033-9
    [14] Congbin FU, 2017: From Climate to Global Change: Following the Footprint of Prof. Duzheng YE's Research, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 34, 1159-1168.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-017-6300-6
    [15] Paul D. WILLIAMS, 2017: Increased Light, Moderate, and Severe Clear-Air Turbulence in Response to Climate Change, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 34, 576-586.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-017-6268-2
    [16] XU Yongfu, HUANG Yao, LI Yangchun, 2012: Summary of Recent Climate Change Studies on the Carbon and Nitrogen Cycles in the Terrestrial Ecosystem and Ocean in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 29, 1027-1047.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-012-1206-9
    [17] Ting WEI, Wenjie DONG, Qing YAN, Jieming CHOU, Zhiyong YANG, Di TIAN, 2016: Developed and Developing World Contributions to Climate System Change Based on Carbon Dioxide, Methane and Nitrous Oxide Emissions, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 33, 632-643.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-015-5141-4
    [18] Xiaoxin WANG, Dabang JIANG, Xianmei LANG, 2018: Climate Change of 4°C Global Warming above Pre-industrial Levels, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 35, 757-770.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-018-7160-4
    [19] SHENG Li, LIU Shuhua, Heping LIU, 2010: Influences of Climate Change and Its Interannual Variability on Surface Energy Fluxes from 1948 to 2000, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 27, 1438-1452.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-010-9215-z
    [20] Liguang WU, Haikun ZHAO, Chao WANG, Jian CAO, Jia LIANG, 2022: Understanding of the Effect of Climate Change on Tropical Cyclone Intensity: A Review, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 39, 205-221.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-021-1026-x
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    • Manuscript History

    Manuscript received: 10 July 2010
    Manuscript revised: 10 July 2010
    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

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    Application of an Economy--Climate Model to Assess the Impact of Climate Change

    • 1. National Key Laboratory for Surface Processes & Source Ecology/College of Global Change and Earth Systems, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100857, Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment for East Asia, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,National Key Laboratory for Surface Processes & Source Ecology/College of Global Change and Earth Systems, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100857,National Key Laboratory for Surface Processes & Source Ecology/College of Global Change and Earth Systems, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100857, Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment for East Asia, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029
    • Manuscript received: 2010-07-10
    • Manuscript revised: 2010-07-10

    Abstract: An interdisciplinary investigation was conducted to assess the impact of climate change on grain yields using an economy--climate model (C-D-C). The model was formulated by incorporating climate factors into the classic Cobb-Douglas (C-D) economic production function model. The economic meanings of the model output elasticities are described and elucidated. The C-D-C model was applied to the assessment of the impact of climate change on grain yields in China during the past 20 years, from 1983 through 2002. In the study, the land of China was divided into eight regions, and both the C-D-C and C-D models were applied to each individual region. The results suggest that the C-D-C model is superior to the classic C-D model, indicating the importance of climate factors. Prospective applications of the C-D-C model are discussed.

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